WNBA · resolved market
Seattle Storm vs. Atlanta Dream
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee1f1f93c9980437f5ddca0fc38ab99e6203dc2f4f2fc3b54d04b7b64a3f0959
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atlanta Dreamof Seattle Storm, Atlanta Dream
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $184,355
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $193,523
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $184,355 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Seattle Storm | 0c | 20,508$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.63 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2203…84e6backed Seattle Storm | 15c | 17,000$2,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,509.98 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 20cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Seattle Storm | 16c | 15,445$2,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,471.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa4…2d5cbacked Seattle Storm | 12c | 15,196$1,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Seattle Storm | 16c | 12,341$1,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,952.46 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Seattle Storm | 15c | 5,169$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.39 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Storm | 9c | 4,538$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.06 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Seattle Storm | 8c | 4,046$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.92 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8927…f5c6backed Seattle Storm | 3c | 2,500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 130 | 24.6%32 W · 98 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Seattle Storm | 13c | 2,098$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.5 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6262…b5c0backed Seattle Storm | 11c | 2,042$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.6 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Seattle Storm | 8c | 1,765$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.99 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Seattle Storm | 6c | 1,500$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.72 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Seattle Storm | 14c | 1,225$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.55 | 314 | 48.4%152 W · 162 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed Seattle Storm | 17c | 1,202$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Seattle Storm | 12c | 1,075$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.17 | 239 | 55.2%132 W · 107 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed Seattle Storm | 15c | 999$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.85 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a96…3087backed Seattle Storm | 16c | 994$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.04 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Seattle Storm | 11c | 993.37$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.14 | 166 | 33.1%55 W · 111 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Seattle Storm | 12c | 912.4$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.08 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Atlanta Dream | 79c | 861.4$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.38 | 176 | 56.8%100 W · 76 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa177…4b0dbacked Seattle Storm | 12c | 815.98$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Seattle Storm | 11c | 806.07$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.67 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64de…25a1backed Seattle Storm | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Seattle Storm | 10c | 610.31$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.72 | 190 | 31.1%59 W · 131 L | -14.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Seattle Storm | 7c | 594.58$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.95 | 194 | 28.9%56 W · 138 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed Seattle Storm | 16c | 437.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Seattle Storm | 14c | 435.94$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.12 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Seattle Storm | 16c | 433.09$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.06 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd3…0e24backed Seattle Storm | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Seattle Storm | 6c | 400.12$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.58 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Seattle Storm | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Seattle Storm | 10c | 388.87$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.29 | 105 | 38.1%40 W · 65 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Seattle Storm | 14c | 382$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.48 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53c0…1704backed Seattle Storm | 15c | 353.33$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1852…cb4ebacked Seattle Storm | 11c | 340.45$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.45 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Seattle Storm | 9c | 280.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.52 | 318 | 47.8%152 W · 166 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…5cd6backed Seattle Storm | 8c | 275$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Seattle Storm | 9c | 269$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 92 | 14.1%13 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Seattle Storm | 9c | 267.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Seattle Storm | 9c | 248.45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Seattle Storm | 7c | 240.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Seattle Storm | 15c | 220.79$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Seattle Storm | 17c | 207.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.89 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Seattle Storm | 13c | 200.72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b8d…44b1backed Seattle Storm | 13c | 195.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 102 | 37.3%38 W · 64 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Seattle Storm | 37c | 170.6$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.9 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Seattle Storm | 16c | 152.31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…7688backed Seattle Storm | 11c | 142.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Atlanta Dream | 72c | 138.37$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.25 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4d…60f8backed Seattle Storm | 16c | 134.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Seattle Storm | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6a…857abacked Seattle Storm | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Seattle Storm | 10c | 119.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Atlanta Dream | 76c | 117$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce7…0eebbacked Atlanta Dream | 80c | 103.75$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Seattle Storm | 14c | 101.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd238…ee03backed Seattle Storm | 14c | 96.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Seattle Storm | 23c | 94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…5d28backed Seattle Storm | 11c | 93.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Seattle Storm | 13c | 90.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab1…1975backed Seattle Storm | 14c | 89.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5c…e316backed Atlanta Dream | 58c | 87$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.18 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Seattle Storm | 13c | 86.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 192 | 57.3%110 W · 82 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Seattle Storm | 36c | 85.63$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.94 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Seattle Storm | 13c | 80.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Seattle Storm | 14c | 78.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c39…d10bbacked Seattle Storm | 16c | 68.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Storm vs. Atlanta Dreamthis page
- Seattle Storm vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 176.5Over won
- Seattle Storm vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 178.5Over won
- Seattle Storm vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 179.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-11.5)Seattle Storm won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-12.5)Seattle Storm won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.