WNBA · resolved market
Seattle Storm vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 178.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5fbc24054303688ad010c0a4a8b2472f3039188c202080c15c2e4ecbdceba16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,514
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,358
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,514 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Over | 53c | 18,900$10,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,882.98 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Under | 47c | 12,757$5,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,995.79 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e0…9970backed Under | 49c | 8,077$3,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,957.85 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 51cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 48c | 6,567$3,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,123.36 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b20…3ab0backed Under | 48c | 5,393$2,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,588.86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over | 52c | 5,308$2,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,542.25 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1681…5032backed Over | 53c | 5,270$2,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,476.88 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Over | 17c | 5,067$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,224.36 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd747…076cbacked Over | 51c | 3,036$1,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,487.77 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe156…134bbacked Under | 47c | 2,553$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -7.6wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 66c | 2,211$1,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,465.9 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 51c | 2,194$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.06 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed Over | 51c | 2,035$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.29 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 54c | 1,244$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.96 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…84c5backed Over | 51c | 1,082$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.21 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…8b21backed Over | 52c | 1,050$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.84 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d6…513fbacked Over | 52c | 970.28$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.73 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.38per pick | 50cpaid | +78%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 47c | 949.38$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.21 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 53c | 922.19$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.76 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 47c | 902.56$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.2 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a1…a119backed Over | 52c | 865.38$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.38 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Under | 48c | 800$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Over | 51c | 786.4$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.45 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 73c | 669.59$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.56 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…7fe4backed Under | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Over | 51c | 601$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.55 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -4.0wins | -0.33per pick | 42cpaid | -83.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Under | 50c | 587$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.5 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Under | 49c | 399.77$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.89 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 47c | 327.42$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.89 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 48c | 306.7$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.05 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 48c | 299.99$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.8 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2906…555abacked Over | 52c | 299.95$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.98 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadbc…8af3backed Over | 51c | 290$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.1 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf931…516abacked Over | 54c | 237.04$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 52c | 211.55$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.54 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c5…ea99backed Under | 47c | 203.34$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Under | 47c | 190.02$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.31 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 48c | 139.44$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.93 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Over | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 49c | 125$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 68c | 122.86$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.98 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.9wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +38%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Over | 53c | 103.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.77 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x313d…6f98backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 62c | 99.61$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.57 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x966f…5cdcbacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 52c | 87.5$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x060d…d746backed Under | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 77c | 73.15$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.27 | 192 | 57.3%110 W · 82 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d3…5639backed Under | 48c | 55.63$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Under | 50c | 54.79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 50c | 54.01$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.78 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Under | 48c | 49.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x205d…2ad2backed Under | 51c | 45.45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…4551backed Under | 48c | 44.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 48c | 43.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 54c | 35.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x118d…d432backed Over | 52c | 34.61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…7636backed Over | 51c | 32.65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Under | 78c | 25.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97d4…7b65backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Under | 60c | 18.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Storm vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 178.5this page
- Seattle Storm vs. Atlanta DreamAtlanta Dream won
- Seattle Storm vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 176.5Over won
- Seattle Storm vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 179.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-11.5)Seattle Storm won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-12.5)Seattle Storm won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.