WNBA · resolved market
Seattle Storm vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 179.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2b4dca8b2ccf1f2b84c94a61717ae48b473aca90a9fff20cf1f5b12ee35035a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,576
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,570
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,576 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd202…8973backed Over | 50c | 39,344$19,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,504.02 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Under | 52c | 36,819$19,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,146.09 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 49c | 17,759$8,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,702 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Under | 51c | 11,061$5,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,641.05 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b20…3ab0backed Over | 48c | 11,054$5,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,748.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Over | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 49c | 4,989$2,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,544.39 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba43…c6c0backed Under | 51c | 4,902$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed Over | 48c | 4,476$2,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,327.57 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 49c | 2,927$1,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,431.07 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 48c | 2,696$1,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400.92 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Over | 48c | 1,587$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.46 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 48c | 1,509$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.77 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 49c | 1,315$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.35 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 48c | 1,184$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.44 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Over | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.40per pick | 48cpaid | +85.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 48c | 999.45$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.61 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Over | 48c | 900.5$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.26 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Over | 50c | 386.82$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.46 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 51c | 386.15$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.94 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 48c | 309.76$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.08 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 48c | 259.32$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f2…1f23backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 57c | 153$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.84 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x060d…d746backed Under | 54c | 127.52$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.44 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf49…b4a5backed Under | 52c | 101.61$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x114e…dcefbacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 68c | 95$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 252 | 46%116 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…85c8backed Over | 48c | 94.47$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.87 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x193b…f6ecbacked Under | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 50c | 47$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.55 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 52c | 40.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d6…7192backed Under | 52c | 38.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x118d…d432backed Over | 48c | 32.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 52c | 29.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 173 | 43.9%76 W · 97 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked Under | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 48c | 25.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…7636backed Under | 52c | 25.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Under | 59c | 24.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 48c | 22.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…8620backed Over | 49c | 21.43$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Over | 48c | 21.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Storm vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 179.5this page
- Seattle Storm vs. Atlanta DreamAtlanta Dream won
- Seattle Storm vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 176.5Over won
- Seattle Storm vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 178.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-11.5)Seattle Storm won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-12.5)Seattle Storm won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.