WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee1eb1b3ca4cf5d71b89cd0b7c1ba35563d89ca77c2ad7c4d88427a9bcd37e9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seattle Stormof Atlanta Dream, Seattle Storm
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,010
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,357
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,010 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x531b…32b6backed Seattle Storm | 46c | 8,712$4,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,704.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Seattle Storm | 45c | 6,576$2,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,592 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…cba2backed Atlanta Dream | 54c | 6,026$3,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,254 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1681…5032backed Atlanta Dream | 55c | 4,795$2,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,616.61 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fe…aac5backed Atlanta Dream | 54c | 1,840$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.6 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2b…32f3backed Atlanta Dream | 55c | 1,173$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Seattle Storm | 58c | 1,081$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.63 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Seattle Storm | 56c | 1,080$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.99 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Atlanta Dream | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Atlanta Dream | 55c | 995.09$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.37 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Atlanta Dream | 49c | 578.09$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.74 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Seattle Storm | 59c | 521.42$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.32 | 203 | 40.9%83 W · 120 L | -16.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Atlanta Dream | 53c | 493.13$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.58 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Atlanta Dream | 54c | 462$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.48 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Seattle Storm | 46c | 443.48$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.48 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Seattle Storm | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…0e95backed Atlanta Dream | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Atlanta Dream | 63c | 284$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.92 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Seattle Storm | 37c | 284$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.92 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Atlanta Dream | 54c | 239.87$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.53 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Atlanta Dream | 52c | 220.44$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.63 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf5…d359backed Seattle Storm | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e7…c354backed Atlanta Dream | 54c | 187$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3992…349cbacked Seattle Storm | 48c | 105.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.1 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Atlanta Dream | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf452…4d43backed Atlanta Dream | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Atlanta Dream | 53c | 90.09$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.55 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…f74bbacked Seattle Storm | 55c | 88.42$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.79 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26f7…3ea6backed Seattle Storm | 47c | 79.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.39 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Atlanta Dream | 58c | 71.69$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…7636backed Atlanta Dream | 48c | 70.45$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.57 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Seattle Storm | 47c | 67.08$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.55 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Atlanta Dream | 55c | 55.56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.56 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Seattle Storm | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Seattle Storm | 47c | 51.75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.67 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Seattle Storm | 45c | 42.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Atlanta Dream | 59c | 30.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 192 | 57.3%110 W · 82 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Atlanta Dream | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Atlanta Dream | 52c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Seattle Storm | 50c | 22.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-11.5)this page
- Seattle Storm vs. Atlanta DreamAtlanta Dream won
- Seattle Storm vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 176.5Over won
- Seattle Storm vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 178.5Over won
- Seattle Storm vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 179.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-12.5)Seattle Storm won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.