WNBA · resolved market
Seattle Storm vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 176.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84e52dbaa823f0e1a4c081878850686560bf63f078de9021a86a4368aac8ebeb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,327
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,211
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,327 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 48c | 1,890$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.2 | 564 | 55.1%311 W · 253 L | +27.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Over | 59c | 1,696$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.81 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | -14.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Under | 48c | 1,189$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.02 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | -16.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 52c | 868.42$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.73 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 41c | 638.01$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.58 | 761 | 42.7%325 W · 436 L | -19.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Under | 46c | 551.49$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.52 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 49c | 403.44$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.71 | 389 | 40.9%159 W · 230 L | -14.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Over | 58c | 385$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.8 | 287 | 58.5%168 W · 119 L | +20.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 58c | 337$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.37 | 369 | 50.9%188 W · 181 L | +16.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 47c | 276$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.72 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 42c | 264.01$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.88 | 420 | 46.7%196 W · 224 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 54c | 238.94$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.44 | 657 | 51.4%338 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ae…5310backed Over | 53c | 216.36$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.74 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Over | 24c | 203.23$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.68 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 45c | 199.98$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.99 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Over | 53c | 160$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.56 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa560…767dbacked Over | 38c | 159.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.99 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 60c | 105.16$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.1 | 515 | 52.6%271 W · 244 L | +18.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed Over | 58c | 85.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.49 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 19c | 84.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.34 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 53c | 75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 276 | 49.6%137 W · 139 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 43c | 59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 44c | 53.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 402 | 47.3%190 W · 212 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 42c | 45.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 144 | 45.1%65 W · 79 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6af…c64abacked Over | 58c | 43.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 56c | 42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.53 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6c…b9cfbacked Over | 39c | 39.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 52cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked Under | 47c | 38.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 46c | 37.26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 45c | 34.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 252 | 47.6%120 W · 132 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ec…f645backed Under | 47c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Under | 65c | 29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 46c | 28.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Over | 43c | 27.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 43c | 27.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x118d…d432backed Over | 56c | 20.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Storm vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 176.5this page
- Seattle Storm vs. Atlanta DreamAtlanta Dream won
- Seattle Storm vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 178.5Over won
- Seattle Storm vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 179.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-11.5)Seattle Storm won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-12.5)Seattle Storm won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.