TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Los Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 170.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$64,131
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$64,691

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,131 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0c15…9a45backed Over50c25,195$12,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,597.332759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under50c13,235$6,657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,578.041,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under51c10,855$5,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,329.2636154%195 W · 166 L+0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over48c9,378$4,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,494.1778548.8%383 W · 402 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4c8…8f5abacked Over49c6,130$3,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,003.91811.1%2 W · 16 L-6.5wins-0.36per pick47cpaid-78.2%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under52c5,294$2,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,556.5289349.4%441 W · 452 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under50c4,653$2,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,336.1626953.2%143 W · 126 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x684b…8409backed Over49c2,011$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985.259245.7%42 W · 50 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a03…92d3backed Under51c1,875$956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$918.86154.1%33 W · 28 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under50c1,596$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.6883748.1%403 W · 434 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Under50c1,499$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.753647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Under52c1,247$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.8314452.8%76 W · 68 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over50c1,158$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.2464152%333 W · 308 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over48c1,154$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.9941145.7%188 W · 223 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d59…f7e5backed Under54c1,024$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.844852.1%25 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Over51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5108159.3%48 W · 33 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over51c999.98$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.9910548.6%51 W · 54 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under50c968.82$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.9138645.9%177 W · 209 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e8a…61c3backed Over50c963.08$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.54616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick45cpaid-66.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaa61…7f3bbacked Over49c909.86$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44828558.6%167 W · 118 L+20.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under50c750.77$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.8228647.9%137 W · 149 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Under50c750$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37513048.5%63 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under50c729.6$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.3974942.3%317 W · 432 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c2f…9765backed Under51c588.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.244454.5%24 W · 20 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked Under48c549.14$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.559445.7%43 W · 51 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa68…ba5dbacked Under53c512.03$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.658053.8%43 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under51c490$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.114345.5%65 W · 78 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Under52c477.89$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.688549.4%42 W · 43 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over48c448.18$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.3137141.2%153 W · 218 L-13.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5145…dd71backed Under51c400$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1989251.1%47 W · 45 L+8.6wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+11.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under51c387.31$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.281,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6691…5a83backed Under49c370.2$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.81942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x768f…8a9bbacked Under51c351.78$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.621464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+32.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Over50c333.66$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.835862.1%36 W · 22 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7dab…70aebacked Under50c310.96$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.49933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-30.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Over47c276$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.3430734.2%105 W · 202 L-28.2wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-23.6%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under51c248.22$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.632540.3%131 W · 194 L-17.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3da8…be26backed Over48c211$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.82853.6%15 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under50c208.72$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.36944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1006050%30 W · 30 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Under50c159$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.51136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+129.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Under49c142$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.426654.5%36 W · 30 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over48c126.62$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.7839947.1%188 W · 211 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1101…dfd5backed Over49c120.99$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.891330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-27.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bff…fc26backed Over49c106.07$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.978937.1%33 W · 56 L-8.9wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-26.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Over46c100.13$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.0624546.9%115 W · 130 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Under52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486152.5%32 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x987b…3d00backed Under51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0413348.1%64 W · 69 L-10.1wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-13.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed Under52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1513850.7%70 W · 68 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over12c83.66$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.047451.4%38 W · 36 L+8.2wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+11.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x86e5…6576backed Over48c83.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under48c78.46$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1392248.8%450 W · 472 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Over50c75$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.526054.6%142 W · 118 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x88a2…68a0backed Over52c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.21250%6 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4acd…435fbacked Over51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9714…5152backed Under54c58.8$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.054431.8%14 W · 30 L-7.5wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-36.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1262…056fbacked Over49c56$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4110050%50 W · 50 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x910a…1aa7backed Over49c54.6$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.754148.8%20 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69d2…a218backed Under37c54.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.052245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Over50c53.5$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.753754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x762a…ed42backed Over48c52.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under49c51.8$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4232750.2%164 W · 163 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.561547%289 W · 326 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Under51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.519257.3%110 W · 82 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3003…30f5backed Under50c49.71$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.711957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+19.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x31c7…eca3backed Under50c48$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241030%3 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-39.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under46c47.83$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8371245.4%323 W · 389 L-19.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed Under52c47.41$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.886053.3%32 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Under46c47.28$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5332948.6%160 W · 169 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Under50c46.32$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.169345.2%42 W · 51 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over49c42.53$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8499548.1%479 W · 516 L+2.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba5e…153bbacked Under48c38.61$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.995343.4%23 W · 30 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe90f…a908backed Under50c37.74$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.874542.2%19 W · 26 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Over46c33.72$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5118850%94 W · 94 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Under48c32.67$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9927049.6%134 W · 136 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under47c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.923644.9%106 W · 130 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x31db…9c36backed Under50c27.94$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.941850%9 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over49c27.88$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6434918.3%64 W · 285 L-49.5wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-58.1%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Under51c27.52$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5714450%72 W · 72 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Under46c26.04$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.145844.8%26 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a0e…cdedbacked Under46c24.77$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.353655.6%20 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa21e…044abacked Under49c23.99$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.23540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-32.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Under49c23.14$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.86854.4%37 W · 31 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x88c5…4815backed Under50c22.07$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.031747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.