WNBA · resolved market
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 172.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a89ef076fdec138148eb83fe3355da65d3efc3416906717ba291e6a19ee7005
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,395
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,490
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,395 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4c8…8f5abacked Over | 44c | 17,820$7,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,832.02 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -6.5wins | -0.36per pick | 47cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 52c | 4,726$2,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,291.82 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 55c | 3,494$1,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.54 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Under | 53c | 3,212$1,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,509.68 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 55c | 3,082$1,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,396.43 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 56c | 2,003$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.39 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 55c | 1,233$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.16 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 55c | 1,144$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.9 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 55c | 1,028$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.88 | 320 | 49.4%158 W · 162 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Over | 46c | 999.99$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 46c | 746.72$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.75 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 53c | 723.11$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.98 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d6d6backed Over | 52c | 700$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Over | 52c | 665.97$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.31 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 55c | 555.65$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.22 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 45c | 470.71$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.88 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 51c | 359.97$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.51 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19ec…3f28backed Under | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 45c | 276$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.2 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a13…0512backed Under | 56c | 232.14$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.14 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 16c | 231.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.84 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Over | 56c | 222$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.14 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 45c | 205.58$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.45 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 44c | 204.2$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.02 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Under | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 49c | 147.96$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.13 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 54c | 131$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.26 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 54c | 125$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Under | 51c | 116.83$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.67 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 44c | 102.45$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.37 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 57c | 95.23$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.28 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffcb…d630backed Over | 56c | 94$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.64 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…24c2backed Over | 53c | 88.88$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.11 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 44c | 87.36$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 49c | 85.14$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.72 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Over | 43c | 75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 132 | 56.8%75 W · 57 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 59c | 73$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.27 | 153 | 46.4%71 W · 82 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Under | 69c | 69.21$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.36 | 176 | 56.8%100 W · 76 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 25c | 61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 214 | 46.3%99 W · 115 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked Under | 58c | 56.9$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf851…ef53backed Over | 52c | 55.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 48c | 53.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 55c | 52.71$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.89 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 55c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Under | 54c | 40.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.51 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…f368backed Under | 46c | 39.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Over | 49c | 36.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 43c | 36.42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 45c | 31.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 173 | 43.9%76 W · 97 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 46c | 31.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Under | 55c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 44c | 28.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Over | 56c | 27.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 61c | 27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Under | 54c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ae…5310backed Under | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Over | 57c | 18.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 68c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 172.5this page
- Ariel Atkins: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Brittney Griner: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Brittney Griner: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Erica Wheeler: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Erica Wheeler: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Erica Wheeler: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Erica Wheeler: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut SunConnecticut Sun won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 169.5Under won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 170.5Under won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 171.5Under won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 173.5Under won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 174.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-1.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-2.5)Connecticut Sun won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.