WNBA · resolved market
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 171.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0836d2769d95bf286c25252476df5693f8a67c7d3bc55fd2ab9cbb6bc8e9abd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,901
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,283
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,901 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4c8…8f5abacked Over | 47c | 23,910$11,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,276.19 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -6.5wins | -0.36per pick | 47cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 53c | 11,601$6,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,455.5 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 54c | 4,597$2,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,125.86 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 52c | 2,200$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.96 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Over | 46c | 2,045$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.8 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -8.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 53c | 1,639$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.98 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6387…95dcbacked Under | 53c | 1,419$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.38 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +5.0wins | +0.33per pick | 54cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 51c | 1,115$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.54 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 50c | 923.93$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.83 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Over | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe079…a06fbacked Under | 53c | 333.32$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.66 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.34per pick | 55cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0db0…dcffbacked Under | 45c | 322.47$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 54c | 316$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.03 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 47c | 267.34$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.63 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 52c | 261.33$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.44 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 46c | 208.2$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.45 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3ebe…6dccbacked Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 47c | 139.46$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.54 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Under | 54c | 134$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.23 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 52c | 124.21$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.62 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Under | 53c | 94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.18 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 88.3$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.9 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b97…ecd3backed Under | 55c | 87.59$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.59 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Over | 46c | 85.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.74 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Over | 48c | 65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0536…c50bbacked Under | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69d2…a218backed Under | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Under | 52c | 49.72$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.62 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 45c | 48.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…5fc2backed Under | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 45c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ecb…4f05backed Under | 47c | 40.62$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.53 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 46c | 36.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Under | 54c | 26.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 53c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 54c | 23.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 48c | 23.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 171.5this page
- Ariel Atkins: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Brittney Griner: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Brittney Griner: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Erica Wheeler: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Erica Wheeler: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Erica Wheeler: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Erica Wheeler: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut SunConnecticut Sun won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 169.5Under won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 170.5Under won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 172.5Under won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 173.5Under won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 174.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-1.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-2.5)Connecticut Sun won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.