WNBA · resolved market
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 169.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4bf039b5b4f7e713ae6adaa5d3a04b321490607689b4d1eed98b01e541157962
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,896
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,171
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,896 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x684b…8409backed Over | 52c | 6,431$3,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,344.3 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1681…5032backed Over | 55c | 5,102$2,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,794.86 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 48c | 4,639$2,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,425.81 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Over | 54c | 3,500$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 46c | 3,149$1,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710.25 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Over | 54c | 3,063$1,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,654.02 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 46c | 2,456$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.47 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed Under | 48c | 2,050$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Over | 53c | 1,674$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.22 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Under | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 1,372$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.25 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Under | 46c | 1,335$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.9 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…2937backed Over | 54c | 1,306$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.19 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.8wins | -0.25per pick | 52cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Under | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.40per pick | 48cpaid | +85.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Under | 46c | 906.81$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.68 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 53c | 794$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.82 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 50c | 777.3$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.11 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 46c | 663.09$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.57 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 39c | 608.03$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.92 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbee2…6527backed Over | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 39c | 508.57$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.46 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 48c | 488$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.76 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 48c | 471.07$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.55 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d42…eb8ebacked Over | 69c | 452.17$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -6.7wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 46c | 417.97$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.7 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…953bbacked Under | 53c | 412.83$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.52 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…dd71backed Under | 48c | 400$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Under | 49c | 398.05$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.29 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Over | 53c | 319.17$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.16 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 46c | 300$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.36 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 55c | 271.67$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.26 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 38c | 219.26$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.63 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Under | 50c | 218.97$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.64 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 54c | 205$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.68 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 50c | 203.28$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.64 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 48c | 201.12$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.58 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 47c | 175.56$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.05 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 50c | 164.7$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.85 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae26…fdb3backed Over | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 45c | 128.17$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.49 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Over | 46c | 105$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f93…a687backed Over | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -6.8wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 35c | 98.19$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…24c2backed Over | 47c | 96$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.12 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 45c | 92.37$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.8 | 173 | 43.9%76 W · 97 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd20c…5031backed Under | 47c | 90$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.7 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 13c | 79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Under | 47c | 78.19$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.44 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Under | 47c | 62.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.36 | 132 | 56.8%75 W · 57 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 214 | 46.3%99 W · 115 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Under | 48c | 54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 38c | 44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.18 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 51c | 43.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 36c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0af6…ffdbbacked Under | 48c | 30.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.39per pick | 48cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 44c | 29.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Under | 46c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 53c | 25.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 39c | 25.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.49 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…85c8backed Over | 66c | 19.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 79c | 17.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.73 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0b…4db0backed Over | 62c | 16.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 169.5this page
- Ariel Atkins: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Brittney Griner: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Brittney Griner: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Erica Wheeler: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Erica Wheeler: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Erica Wheeler: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Erica Wheeler: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut SunConnecticut Sun won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 170.5Under won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 171.5Under won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 172.5Under won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 173.5Under won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 174.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-1.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-2.5)Connecticut Sun won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.