WNBA · resolved market
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 174.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4080ea896886ae13238761abb8c0af0638df3f104f9c19eadcf74e8646672bfa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,645
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,200
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,645 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xca0e…7248backed Under | 46c | 2,067$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.26 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +128.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 52c | 1,326$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.06 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 48c | 1,164$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.41 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Over | 44c | 720$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.8 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Over | 46c | 576.62$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 50c | 569.93$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.44 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 47c | 443.05$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.7 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 49c | 400.94$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.72 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6055…5fdebacked Under | 63c | 396.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 37c | 282.64$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.64 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 41c | 234.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.22 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 59c | 205.83$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.35 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae26…fdb3backed Under | 55c | 182.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.18 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed Under | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 48c | 138.94$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.69 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 48c | 105.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.59 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…6f88backed Under | 53c | 105$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.35 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +5.6wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 48c | 100.04$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.02 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffcb…d630backed Under | 70c | 89.34$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 30c | 89.34$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +8.2wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 51c | 79.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.41 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 53c | 78.48$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.89 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Over | 47c | 74.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Over | 39c | 74.67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.31 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 42c | 71.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed Over | 40c | 54.05$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Over | 41c | 51.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67d6…6562backed Under | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Under | 49c | 45.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.15 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Under | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 76 | 69.7%53 W · 23 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 39c | 39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066a…96a0backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 48c | 33.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c7…4338backed Under | 62c | 32.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Over | 54c | 25.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 50c | 24.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ded…c0b1backed Under | 61c | 24.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 174.5this page
- Ariel Atkins: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Brittney Griner: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Brittney Griner: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Erica Wheeler: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Erica Wheeler: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Erica Wheeler: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Erica Wheeler: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut SunConnecticut Sun won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 169.5Under won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 170.5Under won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 171.5Under won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 172.5Under won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 173.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-1.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-2.5)Connecticut Sun won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.