TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Connecticut Sunof Los Angeles Sparks, Connecticut Sun
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,118
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,127

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,118 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x27f7…44b0backed Connecticut Sun50c5,426$2,713 inWon+$2,71336154%195 W · 166 L+0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Sparks50c2,367$1,183 inLost-$1,183.471,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed Los Angeles Sparks49c2,000$980 inLost-$979.984623.9%11 W · 35 L-7.7wins-0.17per pick41cpaid-48.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Los Angeles Sparks50c873.88$437 inLost-$436.941942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Los Angeles Sparks50c735.04$368 inLost-$367.5213048.5%63 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Los Angeles Sparks50c695$348 inLost-$347.538650.3%194 W · 192 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Connecticut Sun50c542.6$271 inWon+$271.33756.8%21 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Connecticut Sun51c471$242 inWon+$229.471,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Connecticut Sun50c155$78 inWon+$77.526953.2%143 W · 126 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Connecticut Sun50c110.84$55 inWon+$55.6432540.3%131 W · 194 L-17.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Los Angeles Sparks50c101.51$51 inLost-$50.7692248.8%450 W · 472 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Los Angeles Sparks49c89.97$44 inLost-$44.0932346.7%151 W · 172 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Connecticut Sun50c70.42$35 inWon+$35.2128647.9%137 W · 149 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf452…4d43backed Connecticut Sun50c60$30 inWon+$306861.8%42 W · 26 L+6.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+18.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Los Angeles Sparks51c59.86$31 inLost-$30.538549.4%42 W · 43 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1262…056fbacked Los Angeles Sparks50c39$20 inLost-$19.510050%50 W · 50 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Connecticut Sun49c37.49$18 inWon+$19.1271245.4%323 W · 389 L-19.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Connecticut Sun50c34.05$17 inWon+$17.0389349.4%441 W · 452 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x183b…b6e9backed Connecticut Sun51c26.61$14 inWon+$13.04560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1f…1e14backed Connecticut Sun52c26.22$14 inWon+$12.65650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3d…b56cbacked Los Angeles Sparks50c23.12$12 inLost-$11.561233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-38.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe7e…ce2bbacked Connecticut Sun52c22.5$12 inWon+$10.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.