WNBA · resolved market
Atlanta Dream vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 173.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb57643566bd7b3bc52485c20f74da281859b8d6307fb66acb17b4c3c0e32bda7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,479
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,991
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,479 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ab1…1975backed Over | 52c | 10,174$5,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,290.28 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 48c | 7,149$3,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,714.82 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 51c | 4,236$2,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,140.71 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 47c | 3,506$1,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,859.81 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 3,454$2,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.77 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe156…134bbacked Over | 53c | 3,185$1,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,688.08 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -7.6wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…d647backed Over | 55c | 3,154$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Under | 51c | 2,812$1,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.67 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 46c | 1,724$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.64 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 47c | 1,336$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.67 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 49c | 1,282$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.01 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Over | 53c | 1,100$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54ce…9f80backed Over | 52c | 1,023$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.75 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Under | 48c | 977.08$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.08 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 48c | 961$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.72 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 44c | 750$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 54c | 575$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.5 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ceb…b821backed Under | 47c | 550$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.5 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Under | 52c | 524$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.52 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 3c | 473.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b8…4429backed Over | 63c | 438.02$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Over | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4eb…7ab3backed Over | 54c | 321.67$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 46c | 302.31$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.75 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa68…ba5dbacked Under | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.33 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 50c | 272.13$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.71 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Under | 48c | 234.13$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.75 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4272…4a17backed Over | 49c | 227.49$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.47 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 49c | 206.78$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.25 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.5 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d18…2365backed Over | 51c | 177.46$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.5 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -10.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Over | 52c | 175.38$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Under | 52c | 169.75$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.48 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Under | 51c | 156$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.44 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Under | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…aa92backed Over | 53c | 132.58$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.27 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Under | 50c | 116$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.7 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 49c | 110$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.15 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 49c | 109.47$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.45 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Over | 51c | 107.84$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 28c | 107.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +8.2wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf6af…c64abacked Over | 61c | 106.43$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 52c | 105$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03de…4bfdbacked Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 59c | 68.53$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.89 | 252 | 46%116 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x434a…91cbbacked Under | 50c | 66.71$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.54 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d3…5639backed Under | 48c | 54.23$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 46c | 47.84$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb5…3444backed Under | 53c | 40.79$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Over | 49c | 39.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 54c | 34.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 54c | 34.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…35cfbacked Over | 49c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Under | 59c | 30.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…9c36backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c96…0a39backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0e…cdedbacked Under | 48c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 48c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4db8…d737backed Over | 48c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Under | 55c | 22.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 203 | 40.9%83 W · 120 L | -16.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 51c | 22.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9106…f5bdbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ceb…4716backed Under | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Dream vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 173.5this page
- Atlanta Dream vs. Connecticut SunAtlanta Dream won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 172.5Over won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 174.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-10.5)Atlanta Dream won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-9.5)Atlanta Dream won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.