WNBA · resolved market
Atlanta Dream vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 172.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe466547ca90ae0a0c7e77e8a8172aad28db00174a287a4f989ff7d6a14e25a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,124
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,522
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,124 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 50c | 3,037$1,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,521.42 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 51c | 2,762$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.69 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 1,050$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.64 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d6d6backed Over | 46c | 649.98$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Under | 49c | 507$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.43 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Over | 62c | 482.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.04 | 58 | 63.8%37 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a26…1589backed Over | 50c | 402.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.53 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98f9…5cd9backed Over | 50c | 400.3$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.3 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Under | 65c | 399.99$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.99 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -10.5wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xb143…cadebacked Over | 34c | 322.5$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.65 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 12c | 270.04$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.98 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 54c | 199.93$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.05 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7a…f252backed Over | 55c | 194.55$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.55 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Under | 51c | 120.01$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.05 | 203 | 40.9%83 W · 120 L | -16.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 46c | 101.5$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.69 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 48c | 70.52$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0182…301cbacked Under | 71c | 69.26$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 35c | 64.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 52c | 63.2$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 49c | 44.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Under | 58c | 40.24$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f20…5d31backed Under | 53c | 33.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Over | 41c | 29.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x03f8…99d0backed Under | 50c | 29.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…7ee6backed Over | 76c | 19.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Dream vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 172.5this page
- Atlanta Dream vs. Connecticut SunAtlanta Dream won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 173.5Under won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 174.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-10.5)Atlanta Dream won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-9.5)Atlanta Dream won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.