TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Spread: Atlanta Dream (-10.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Atlanta Dreamof Atlanta Dream, Connecticut Sun
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$62,155
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$61,319

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,155 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6820…1c19backed Atlanta Dream51c34,075$17,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,825.73754.1%20 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Connecticut Sun50c7,942$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,000.291,78751.7%924 W · 863 L+54.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Connecticut Sun49c6,000$2,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,94012057.5%69 W · 51 L+9.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Connecticut Sun48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4005759.6%34 W · 23 L+7.1wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+30.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x684b…8409backed Connecticut Sun51c4,116$2,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,099.149644.8%43 W · 53 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Connecticut Sun49c4,000$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9607948.1%38 W · 41 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Atlanta Dream49c3,684$1,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,878.6779648.7%388 W · 408 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cbf…0eb4backed Connecticut Sun52c3,247$1,689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,688.628447.6%40 W · 44 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Connecticut Sun50c2,772$1,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,373.871,01247.9%485 W · 527 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Connecticut Sun50c2,400$1,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2108646.5%40 W · 46 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7353…4b0dbacked Atlanta Dream50c2,200$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1005752.6%30 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Atlanta Dream48c2,111$1,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,097.7239450.5%199 W · 195 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Atlanta Dream46c2,011$926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,085.747841%32 W · 46 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Connecticut Sun50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009851%50 W · 48 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54ba…04e4backed Connecticut Sun36c1,931$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6903933.3%13 W · 26 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-25.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Connecticut Sun50c1,893$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946.2647246.8%221 W · 251 L-1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Connecticut Sun48c1,750$845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84585948.4%416 W · 443 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Atlanta Dream57c1,028$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.691,63250.2%819 W · 813 L+37.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Connecticut Sun53c1,019$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5404647.8%22 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Atlanta Dream54c870.13$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.1138940.9%159 W · 230 L-14.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Connecticut Sun50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4008844.3%39 W · 49 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Connecticut Sun53c767.26$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.6565751.4%338 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked Connecticut Sun49c612$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.889445.7%43 W · 51 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Connecticut Sun47c499.99$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.996541.5%27 W · 38 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5145…dd71backed Connecticut Sun49c400$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1949251.1%47 W · 45 L+8.6wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+11.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Connecticut Sun50c375.78$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.892552%13 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90a1…fb15backed Connecticut Sun28c358.97$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-36.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Connecticut Sun53c325$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.228753.3%153 W · 134 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Atlanta Dream47c319.97$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.586544.6%29 W · 36 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Connecticut Sun51c314.1$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.6593248.8%455 W · 477 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Atlanta Dream50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15032850.3%165 W · 163 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Connecticut Sun53c294.08$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.8639045.9%179 W · 211 L-15.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Connecticut Sun12c273.32$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3328140.6%114 W · 167 L-1.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b0f…b7aebacked Connecticut Sun50c224.26$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.139348.4%45 W · 48 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Atlanta Dream48c218.08$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.413649.3%67 W · 69 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Connecticut Sun50c187.88$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.942441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Connecticut Sun50c187.88$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.941533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-40.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Connecticut Sun50c146.67$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.877732.5%25 W · 52 L-9.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-33.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Connecticut Sun50c138$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.3130734.2%105 W · 202 L-28.2wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-23.6%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Connecticut Sun51c127.12$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.3814445.1%65 W · 79 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7049…85a5backed Atlanta Dream51c121.3$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.442842.9%12 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Connecticut Sun52c120$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.427649.6%137 W · 139 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3947…63a5backed Connecticut Sun52c102.45$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.271250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc59…35f7backed Connecticut Sun50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501850%9 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f93…a687backed Connecticut Sun52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523231.3%10 W · 22 L-6.8wins-0.21per pick53cpaid-40.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xc44e…284abacked Atlanta Dream51c98.03$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.031533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-24.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Atlanta Dream49c91.59$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.7918144.2%80 W · 101 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Connecticut Sun44c88.61$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.998548.2%41 W · 44 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x467c…614dbacked Atlanta Dream76c85.92$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.92540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-34.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Connecticut Sun50c84.88$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3462746.9%294 W · 333 L-19.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ad1…b4c5backed Atlanta Dream48c81.61$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.44966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+39.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ad3…1af6backed Connecticut Sun50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401450%7 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba00…527bbacked Connecticut Sun52c72.78$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.145168.6%35 W · 16 L+7.7wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+30.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed Atlanta Dream52c72$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.566251.6%32 W · 30 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x434a…91cbbacked Connecticut Sun50c63.68$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.76966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+21.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb42…176ebacked Connecticut Sun50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xade5…56b1backed Connecticut Sun49c59.06$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Connecticut Sun39c56.82$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1610657.5%61 W · 45 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8859…89d6backed Connecticut Sun53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305856.9%33 W · 25 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde36…f41cbacked Connecticut Sun49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251560%9 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a9c…0f59backed Connecticut Sun52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262138.1%8 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-28.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc22a…a35cbacked Connecticut Sun53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258138.3%31 W · 50 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick35cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Connecticut Sun50c45.69$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8519857.1%113 W · 85 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a81…9070backed Connecticut Sun49c45$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.051741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x78fb…56bcbacked Connecticut Sun50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-56.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2175…4b33backed Connecticut Sun50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62cd…7b19backed Connecticut Sun50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a6a…56bdbacked Connecticut Sun50c39$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.685945.8%27 W · 32 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6769…f8b9backed Connecticut Sun52c38.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201421.4%3 W · 11 L-4.0wins-0.29per pick50cpaid-61.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed Connecticut Sun49c35.57$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5411053.6%59 W · 51 L+9.6wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+23.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Connecticut Sun50c35.39$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.771245.4%323 W · 389 L-19.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4d3…5639backed Connecticut Sun50c32.56$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.286350.8%32 W · 31 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Connecticut Sun50c32.34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2713249.2%65 W · 67 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Atlanta Dream51c32.2$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7825247.6%120 W · 132 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd3c…35cfbacked Connecticut Sun50c32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169041.1%37 W · 53 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0789…f7adbacked Connecticut Sun50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+22.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18ca…22c9backed Connecticut Sun51c28.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bb4…4551backed Connecticut Sun50c26.7$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.358149.4%40 W · 41 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9503…d1f3backed Connecticut Sun50c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49f0…285fbacked Connecticut Sun50c23.97$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.99757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x237f…e76ebacked Atlanta Dream49c22.56$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.528939.3%35 W · 54 L-8.0wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfda1…06a4backed Connecticut Sun50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe567…f0cfbacked Connecticut Sun50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+26.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b66…582fbacked Connecticut Sun50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7488…9cfbbacked Connecticut Sun50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33ea…fa08backed Connecticut Sun50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe91c…0cf9backed Connecticut Sun50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.