WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0a9201830d2dc116918fbc34fefc81b3db31b181fe8d4c55db5d763b442cc1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atlanta Dreamof Atlanta Dream, Connecticut Sun
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,246
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,166
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,246 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Connecticut Sun | 48c | 12,696$6,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,039.8 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Connecticut Sun | 48c | 7,155$3,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,434.4 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Atlanta Dream | 53c | 5,312$2,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520.79 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Atlanta Dream | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.99 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Atlanta Dream | 53c | 4,486$2,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,108.75 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Connecticut Sun | 47c | 2,652$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253.59 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Atlanta Dream | 53c | 2,586$1,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215.42 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Atlanta Dream | 52c | 2,040$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.24 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Atlanta Dream | 54c | 2,013$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.04 | 320 | 49.4%158 W · 162 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Atlanta Dream | 52c | 1,756$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.97 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Atlanta Dream | 57c | 1,602$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.67 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Atlanta Dream | 53c | 1,600$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.99 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Connecticut Sun | 47c | 1,455$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.89 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Atlanta Dream | 53c | 1,314$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.58 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Connecticut Sun | 48c | 1,255$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.28 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Connecticut Sun | 47c | 1,003$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Connecticut Sun | 47c | 854.87$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.79 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Connecticut Sun | 49c | 806.16$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.1 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe8…2cbabacked Atlanta Dream | 52c | 782$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.36 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Connecticut Sun | 49c | 614.98$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.14 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Connecticut Sun | 49c | 614.58$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.94 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…2937backed Connecticut Sun | 48c | 594.85$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.53 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.8wins | -0.25per pick | 52cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Atlanta Dream | 51c | 588.46$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.35 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…0e95backed Atlanta Dream | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Atlanta Dream | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07c…11a0backed Atlanta Dream | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Atlanta Dream | 53c | 383.55$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.27 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Connecticut Sun | 28c | 290.22$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.95 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Atlanta Dream | 52c | 289.99$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.2 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Connecticut Sun | 46c | 276$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.96 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Connecticut Sun | 47c | 274.46$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Atlanta Dream | 69c | 265.42$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.99 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Connecticut Sun | 47c | 256$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.32 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Atlanta Dream | 66c | 220.36$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.72 | 132 | 56.8%75 W · 57 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…7fe4backed Connecticut Sun | 48c | 209.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Connecticut Sun | 47c | 209$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.23 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed Connecticut Sun | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Atlanta Dream | 53c | 204.01$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.88 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Atlanta Dream | 55c | 201$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.52 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Atlanta Dream | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Atlanta Dream | 53c | 161.69$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.63 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Atlanta Dream | 66c | 129.51$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.03 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc167…4bd3backed Connecticut Sun | 48c | 101.9$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Connecticut Sun | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8537…b98bbacked Connecticut Sun | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Atlanta Dream | 52c | 99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.52 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed Atlanta Dream | 53c | 94.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.45 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbafe…33a6backed Atlanta Dream | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Atlanta Dream | 52c | 91.17$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.76 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5777…f1a7backed Atlanta Dream | 53c | 84.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.95 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad1…b4c5backed Connecticut Sun | 48c | 83.51$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Atlanta Dream | 53c | 82.74$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.3 | 173 | 43.9%76 W · 97 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Atlanta Dream | 51c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x434a…91cbbacked Connecticut Sun | 28c | 71.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Atlanta Dream | 52c | 71.42$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.28 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Atlanta Dream | 53c | 51.89$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.39 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Connecticut Sun | 48c | 51.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Atlanta Dream | 73c | 50.3$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Atlanta Dream | 53c | 42.77$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Connecticut Sun | 47c | 42.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4db8…d737backed Atlanta Dream | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x492a…46aebacked Connecticut Sun | 47c | 39.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Atlanta Dream | 52c | 34.97$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e87…65dfbacked Atlanta Dream | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Atlanta Dream | 66c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…639dbacked Atlanta Dream | 53c | 24.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Connecticut Sun | 48c | 24.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Atlanta Dream | 53c | 24.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Connecticut Sun | 48c | 23.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Connecticut Sun | 48c | 23.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-9.5)this page
- Atlanta Dream vs. Connecticut SunAtlanta Dream won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 172.5Over won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 173.5Under won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 174.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-10.5)Atlanta Dream won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.