Europa Conference League · resolved market
Panathinaikós AO vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf186cb9b9d3f6c78c743eaddf628655a9a65b5f2daa60fcf4c4ec7c39839a7bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,564
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,784
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,564 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8e3…aaf2backed Over | 50c | 21,014$10,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,583.31 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +69%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Under | 11c | 8,810$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.95 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 51c | 5,674$2,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,869.36 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 12c | 4,375$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.79 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 52c | 4,317$2,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,235.44 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 39c | 3,923$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,386.6 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 31c | 3,877$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.82 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Under | 50c | 3,333$1,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,666.5 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 60c | 2,781$1,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,666.55 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Under | 50c | 1,966$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.05 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 50c | 1,890$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.81 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 1,858$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.6 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 34c | 1,441$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.93 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 41c | 1,344$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.83 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 48c | 1,216$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.87 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 50c | 1,148$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.96 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Under | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 51c | 737.91$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.71 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 50c | 659.69$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.93 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…7518backed Under | 66c | 468.55$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 51c | 364$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.64 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 50c | 360$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.92 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 50c | 360$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.92 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…c93abacked Under | 11c | 167.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 51c | 163$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.13 | 270 | 39.3%106 W · 164 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 50c | 118.52$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.39 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…33dabacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 40c | 97.53$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 335 | 22.4%75 W · 260 L | -43.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 50c | 87.9$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Under | 63c | 87.3$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 37c | 84.11$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.99 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea6…eaaebacked Over | 48c | 75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed Over | 50c | 72.91$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Under | 51c | 71.43$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.37 | 138 | 39.1%54 W · 84 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Over | 55c | 61.82$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.82 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x884b…c480backed Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 50c | 56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 53c | 55.58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53c8…7f69backed Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 60c | 44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 134 | 67.9%91 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…a72cbacked Under | 53c | 42.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 57c | 42.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 51c | 41.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b6…e0a0backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 45c | 37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae3b…e06ebacked Under | 50c | 36.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 56c | 35.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…9c36backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Under | 50c | 29.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b2…fba9backed Over | 75c | 26.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 77c | 25.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 51c | 21.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a06…248abacked Under | 51c | 20.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 78c | 17.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d2…c938backed Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +4.0wins | +0.20per pick | 65cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Panathinaikós AO vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 2.5this page
- Panathinaikós AO vs. FC Hradec Králové: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Panathinaikós AO vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 0.5Over won
- Panathinaikós AO vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 1.5Over won
- Panathinaikós AO vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 3.5Over won
- Panathinaikós AO vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 4.5Under won
- Panathinaikós AO vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 5.5Under won
- Panathinaikós AO vs. FC Hradec Králové: Panathinaikós AO O/U 1.5Over won
- Spread: Panathinaikós AO (-1.5)FC Hradec Králové won
- Spread: Panathinaikós AO (-2.5)FC Hradec Králové won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.