Europa Conference League · resolved market
Panathinaikós AO vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f7abe38c41b1c5a679966bf02e10db45dcdb2a35e96eefd3ffd40d965c90d67
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,755
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,827
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,755 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8e3…aaf2backed Over | 75c | 8,923$6,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,246.29 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +69%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 49c | 7,397$3,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,616.65 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 52c | 4,444$2,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120.36 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 27c | 2,301$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.96 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 50c | 1,992$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.7 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 73c | 1,844$1,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.99 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 24c | 1,383$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.83 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 26c | 1,345$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.78 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 25c | 881.42$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.36 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 25c | 881.42$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.36 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 51c | 805.35$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.92 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 25c | 750$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.38 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Under | 51c | 700$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 58c | 553.76$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.9 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e8…9490backed Under | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 25c | 490$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.88 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 25c | 490$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.88 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 24c | 400.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.4 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5b…2501backed Over | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…4c4ebacked Under | 6c | 276.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 3cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Under | 7c | 240$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 45c | 200.3$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.37 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Under | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…d4a0backed Over | 74c | 120$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…33dabacked Under | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 21c | 89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Under | 63c | 87.3$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae3b…e06ebacked Under | 53c | 78.77$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.75 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…a72cbacked Under | 50c | 65.72$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcce…6f2abacked Over | 62c | 59.97$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +38%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x555f…e4d3backed Under | 26c | 55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf005…caf0backed Over | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 25c | 44.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Over | 41c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed Over | 75c | 30.38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23bd…4cd7backed Over | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2f…bf94backed Over | 75c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Panathinaikós AO vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 1.5this page
- Panathinaikós AO vs. FC Hradec Králové: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Panathinaikós AO vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 0.5Over won
- Panathinaikós AO vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 2.5Over won
- Panathinaikós AO vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 3.5Over won
- Panathinaikós AO vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 4.5Under won
- Panathinaikós AO vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 5.5Under won
- Panathinaikós AO vs. FC Hradec Králové: Panathinaikós AO O/U 1.5Over won
- Spread: Panathinaikós AO (-1.5)FC Hradec Králové won
- Spread: Panathinaikós AO (-2.5)FC Hradec Králové won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.