Europa Conference League · resolved market
KKS Lech Poznań vs. KÍ: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20276805ed84c0b7c333db1ff3abdb238188c3cd077ccefda6da8c5b52aa3499
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,029
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,002
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,029 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 38c | 1,817$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.33 | 2,344 | 41.6%976 W · 1,368 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Under | 54c | 1,580$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.72 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 55c | 913.35$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.79 | 662 | 50.6%335 W · 327 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 54c | 801.37$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.63 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 45c | 555$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.75 | 1,026 | 47.4%486 W · 540 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 45c | 514.76$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.81 | 139 | 47.5%66 W · 73 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x990e…cecfbacked Under | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.75 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cf…2224backed Under | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 55c | 316.09$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.36 | 695 | 48.9%340 W · 355 L | +19.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 55c | 302.51$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.13 | 1,046 | 50.2%525 W · 521 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 67c | 288.34$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.02 | 2,478 | 33.9%840 W · 1,638 L | -95.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 47c | 204$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.98 | 181 | 45.9%83 W · 98 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3daf…19ebbacked Over | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Under | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +9.3wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Over | 46c | 120$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +9.5wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 56c | 98.02$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.64 | 503 | 54.7%275 W · 228 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 43c | 74.85$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 1,037 | 46.1%478 W · 559 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 38c | 72.74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.94 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 44c | 69.36$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.52 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 54c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.45 | 443 | 56.2%249 W · 194 L | +23.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 54c | 55.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.63 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 46c | 52.87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 658 | 35.6%234 W · 424 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 44c | 42.84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 1,117 | 35.8%400 W · 717 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 71 | 66.2%47 W · 24 L | +8.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Under | 56c | 36.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed Over | 46c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 46c | 33.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 571 | 49.6%283 W · 288 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Over | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 46c | 28.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 275 | 45.8%126 W · 149 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…9c36backed Under | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Under | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 55c | 21.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…c170backed Under | 80c | 18.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- KKS Lech Poznań vs. KÍ: O/U 3.5this page
- KKS Lech Poznań vs. KÍ: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- KKS Lech Poznań vs. KÍ: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- KKS Lech Poznań vs. KÍ: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- KKS Lech Poznań vs. KÍ: KKS Lech Poznań O/U 0.5Over won
- KKS Lech Poznań vs. KÍ: KKS Lech Poznań O/U 1.5Under won
- KKS Lech Poznań vs. KÍ: KKS Lech Poznań O/U 2.5Under won
- KKS Lech Poznań vs. KÍ: KÍ 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- KKS Lech Poznań vs. KÍ: KÍ O/U 0.5Under won
- KKS Lech Poznań vs. KÍ: KÍ O/U 2.5Under won
- KKS Lech Poznań vs. KÍ: O/U 0.5Over won
- KKS Lech Poznań vs. KÍ: O/U 1.5Under won
- KKS Lech Poznań vs. KÍ: O/U 2.5Under won
- KKS Lech Poznań vs. KÍ: O/U 4.5Under won
- KKS Lech Poznań vs. KÍ: O/U 5.5Under won
- KKS Lech Poznań vs. KÍ: Team to AdvanceKKS Lech Poznań won
- Spread: KKS Lech Poznań (-1.5)KÍ won
- Spread: KKS Lech Poznań (-2.5)KÍ won
- Spread: KÍ (-1.5)KKS Lech Poznań won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.