Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: KKS Lech Poznań (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75096b4d53dd19c30537c885d77a92fc64058fc136847d2c796be51cdb2a7e8b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KÍof KKS Lech Poznań, KÍ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,248
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,287
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,248 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked KKS Lech Poznań | 63c | 12,830$8,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,037.37 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed KÍ | 39c | 2,078$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271.97 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed KÍ | 36c | 1,371$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.75 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed KKS Lech Poznań | 46c | 1,032$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.23 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked KÍ | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed KÍ | 33c | 908.89$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.36 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked KKS Lech Poznań | 62c | 871.55$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.36 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed KÍ | 64c | 864.28$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.48 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked KÍ | 36c | 785.5$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.72 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked KÍ | 37c | 738.01$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.01 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed KÍ | 35c | 718.56$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.26 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed KÍ | 39c | 600$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed KÍ | 36c | 555.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.55 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed KÍ | 37c | 545.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.95 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked KÍ | 38c | 530.65$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.77 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed KÍ | 37c | 448.3$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.34 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked KÍ | 36c | 434.53$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.68 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed KÍ | 39c | 400$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed KÍ | 32c | 400$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.26 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +9.3wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed KÍ | 39c | 368$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.48 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…35f7backed KÍ | 37c | 272.98$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.98 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57d3…9450backed KÍ | 38c | 272.65$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked KKS Lech Poznań | 65c | 256$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.12 | 275 | 45.8%126 W · 149 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6f…1dfebacked KKS Lech Poznań | 43c | 250$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…0aafbacked KÍ | 38c | 210.53$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.53 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +102.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb550…2799backed KÍ | 36c | 208.97$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.97 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed KÍ | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed KÍ | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed KÍ | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed KÍ | 37c | 150.35$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.44 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a60…7b81backed KKS Lech Poznań | 65c | 130.88$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.53 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed KÍ | 41c | 116.42$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.25 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed KÍ | 36c | 103.79$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.42 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…d4a0backed KÍ | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd4…b60fbacked KÍ | 37c | 96.25$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.89 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed KÍ | 37c | 96.1$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.54 | 182 | 52.7%96 W · 86 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed KÍ | 70c | 91.51$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.41 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb7…0acebacked KKS Lech Poznań | 43c | 81.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed KÍ | 39c | 80$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked KÍ | 32c | 80$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 71 | 66.2%47 W · 24 L | +8.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed KKS Lech Poznań | 63c | 79.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2458…bd24backed KKS Lech Poznań | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed KÍ | 36c | 71.8$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.95 | 381 | 44.1%168 W · 213 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5141…7346backed KÍ | 37c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +162.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe217…9626backed KKS Lech Poznań | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa187…aa65backed KKS Lech Poznań | 65c | 53.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35ba…4390backed KÍ | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b66…582fbacked KÍ | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc951…6791backed KÍ | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe91c…0cf9backed KÍ | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed KÍ | 35c | 52.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.18 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed KÍ | 65c | 51.61$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f00…5396backed KKS Lech Poznań | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed KÍ | 31c | 48.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.35 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed KÍ | 37c | 40.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.61 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfae…155ebacked KÍ | 36c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked KKS Lech Poznań | 66c | 37.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed KÍ | 65c | 34.39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 191 | 63.4%121 W · 70 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe567…f0cfbacked KÍ | 40c | 34.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked KKS Lech Poznań | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked KKS Lech Poznań | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed KÍ | 66c | 32.11$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed KÍ | 66c | 32.11$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97d4…7b65backed KÍ | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9503…d1f3backed KÍ | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f1…5b7fbacked KKS Lech Poznań | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked KKS Lech Poznań | 67c | 22.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed KÍ | 62c | 18.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: KKS Lech Poznań (-1.5)this page
- KKS Lech Poznań vs. KÍ: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- KKS Lech Poznań vs. KÍ: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- KKS Lech Poznań vs. KÍ: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- KKS Lech Poznań vs. KÍ: KKS Lech Poznań O/U 0.5Over won
- KKS Lech Poznań vs. KÍ: KKS Lech Poznań O/U 1.5Under won
- KKS Lech Poznań vs. KÍ: KKS Lech Poznań O/U 2.5Under won
- KKS Lech Poznań vs. KÍ: KÍ 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- KKS Lech Poznań vs. KÍ: KÍ O/U 0.5Under won
- KKS Lech Poznań vs. KÍ: KÍ O/U 2.5Under won
- KKS Lech Poznań vs. KÍ: O/U 0.5Over won
- KKS Lech Poznań vs. KÍ: O/U 1.5Under won
- KKS Lech Poznań vs. KÍ: O/U 2.5Under won
- KKS Lech Poznań vs. KÍ: O/U 3.5Under won
- KKS Lech Poznań vs. KÍ: O/U 4.5Under won
- KKS Lech Poznań vs. KÍ: O/U 5.5Under won
- KKS Lech Poznań vs. KÍ: Team to AdvanceKKS Lech Poznań won
- Spread: KKS Lech Poznań (-2.5)KÍ won
- Spread: KÍ (-1.5)KKS Lech Poznań won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.