Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: KKS Lech Poznań (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe45af39e1a7830ecf36432781d3d96d0019941dc4000fb8c9a0bb7107b3577ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KÍof KKS Lech Poznań, KÍ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,646
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,739
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,646 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked KKS Lech Poznań | 42c | 6,972$2,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,955.17 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed KÍ | 57c | 2,029$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.8 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed KÍ | 56c | 975.65$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.76 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked KKS Lech Poznań | 44c | 866$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.04 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked KÍ | 59c | 673.14$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.99 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed KÍ | 56c | 565$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.31 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked KÍ | 57c | 444.36$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.2 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed KKS Lech Poznań | 43c | 276.72$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.11 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked KÍ | 59c | 256$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.96 | 275 | 45.8%126 W · 149 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed KKS Lech Poznań | 44c | 221.93$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.65 | 182 | 52.7%96 W · 86 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed KÍ | 57c | 202.99$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.5 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked KÍ | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed KÍ | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +9.3wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed KÍ | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed KÍ | 58c | 191.02$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.23 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb550…2799backed KÍ | 56c | 177.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.88 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed KÍ | 57c | 153.69$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.71 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed KÍ | 56c | 143.23$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.02 | 381 | 44.1%168 W · 213 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed KÍ | 59c | 102.79$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.64 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked KÍ | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe70…7533backed KÍ | 58c | 99.98$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.99 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed KÍ | 57c | 99.04$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed KKS Lech Poznań | 43c | 95.23$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked KÍ | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed KÍ | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed KÍ | 58c | 83.46$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.96 | 239 | 51.5%123 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed KÍ | 57c | 79.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed KÍ | 57c | 79.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.39 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed KÍ | 56c | 77$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.88 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed KÍ | 58c | 74.39$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked KÍ | 56c | 71.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.47 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a60…7b81backed KKS Lech Poznań | 44c | 69.85$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.65 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97d4…7b65backed KKS Lech Poznań | 44c | 55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed KÍ | 75c | 54.23$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…5152backed KKS Lech Poznań | 43c | 53.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -4.4wins | -0.44per pick | 54cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed KÍ | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed KÍ | 62c | 47.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed KKS Lech Poznań | 43c | 44.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked KÍ | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 71 | 66.2%47 W · 24 L | +8.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a6…c03bbacked KÍ | 68c | 38.24$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed KKS Lech Poznań | 39c | 34.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed KÍ | 57c | 31.95$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f1…5b7fbacked KKS Lech Poznań | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed KÍ | 57c | 22.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked KÍ | 57c | 19.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed KÍ | 57c | 17.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 370 | 43.8%162 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: KKS Lech Poznań (-2.5)this page
- KKS Lech Poznań vs. KÍ: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- KKS Lech Poznań vs. KÍ: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- KKS Lech Poznań vs. KÍ: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- KKS Lech Poznań vs. KÍ: KKS Lech Poznań O/U 0.5Over won
- KKS Lech Poznań vs. KÍ: KKS Lech Poznań O/U 1.5Under won
- KKS Lech Poznań vs. KÍ: KKS Lech Poznań O/U 2.5Under won
- KKS Lech Poznań vs. KÍ: KÍ 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- KKS Lech Poznań vs. KÍ: KÍ O/U 0.5Under won
- KKS Lech Poznań vs. KÍ: KÍ O/U 2.5Under won
- KKS Lech Poznań vs. KÍ: O/U 0.5Over won
- KKS Lech Poznań vs. KÍ: O/U 1.5Under won
- KKS Lech Poznań vs. KÍ: O/U 2.5Under won
- KKS Lech Poznań vs. KÍ: O/U 3.5Under won
- KKS Lech Poznań vs. KÍ: O/U 4.5Under won
- KKS Lech Poznań vs. KÍ: O/U 5.5Under won
- KKS Lech Poznań vs. KÍ: Team to AdvanceKKS Lech Poznań won
- Spread: KKS Lech Poznań (-1.5)KÍ won
- Spread: KÍ (-1.5)KKS Lech Poznań won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.