Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: Rangers FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x679446faee57973f11d39c0ab5590d16fad4309d8daa8de8fecbc8c89c438c9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FK Jablonecof Rangers FC, FK Jablonec
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,260
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,808
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,260 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x162c…6c47backed FK Jablonec | 58c | 9,653$5,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,088.98 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Rangers FC | 42c | 3,122$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.41 | 218 | 40.4%88 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Rangers FC | 42c | 2,759$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.12 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Rangers FC | 38c | 2,691$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.12 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed FK Jablonec | 66c | 1,658$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.31 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Rangers FC | 35c | 1,064$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.27 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Rangers FC | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Rangers FC | 33c | 999.99$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed FK Jablonec | 66c | 973.48$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.6 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Rangers FC | 42c | 932.48$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.04 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Rangers FC | 42c | 900$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 370 | 46.5%172 W · 198 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Rangers FC | 42c | 746$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.32 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Rangers FC | 43c | 641.71$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.16 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa71d…9854backed FK Jablonec | 59c | 496.72$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.66 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Rangers FC | 43c | 276.98$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.1 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed FK Jablonec | 56c | 249.98$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.99 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Rangers FC | 42c | 247$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.74 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Rangers FC | 42c | 245.61$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.42 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Rangers FC | 45c | 227.94$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.02 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Rangers FC | 41c | 199.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c2…d39ebacked FK Jablonec | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x734e…edbdbacked FK Jablonec | 59c | 163.93$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.21 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Rangers FC | 43c | 150$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad57…2fc0backed Rangers FC | 10c | 139.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…4fd5backed FK Jablonec | 59c | 126.14$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a41…f527backed FK Jablonec | 59c | 122.95$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.41 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Rangers FC | 16c | 118.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Rangers FC | 44c | 106.39$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.75 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Rangers FC | 33c | 103$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.89 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed Rangers FC | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b25…7a69backed Rangers FC | 42c | 98.02$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.17 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Rangers FC | 41c | 90.39$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.06 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…c012backed FK Jablonec | 59c | 84.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.74 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7218…ea41backed FK Jablonec | 59c | 81.96$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebf3…50a8backed FK Jablonec | 59c | 81.96$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf04b…049abacked FK Jablonec | 59c | 81.96$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed FK Jablonec | 55c | 74.97$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.87 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x884b…c480backed Rangers FC | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Rangers FC | 41c | 65.83$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Rangers FC | 43c | 59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed FK Jablonec | 67c | 49.49$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed FK Jablonec | 67c | 49.49$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed FK Jablonec | 67c | 42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 134 | 67.9%91 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd6…cfdebacked FK Jablonec | 60c | 40.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69d2…a218backed FK Jablonec | 60c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.27 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Rangers FC | 43c | 36.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 239 | 51.5%123 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Rangers FC | 36c | 36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Rangers FC | 38c | 36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…9c36backed Rangers FC | 44c | 34.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fd…9994backed FK Jablonec | 59c | 33.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x232f…8002backed FK Jablonec | 59c | 33.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x947d…dff0backed FK Jablonec | 59c | 32.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10af…2d06backed FK Jablonec | 59c | 32.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Rangers FC | 47c | 29.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked FK Jablonec | 53c | 29.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…24c2backed FK Jablonec | 57c | 26.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Rangers FC | 43c | 25.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed FK Jablonec | 67c | 25.47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…5720backed FK Jablonec | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a06…248abacked Rangers FC | 43c | 24.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…70ffbacked Rangers FC | 42c | 23.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x256a…8fb4backed FK Jablonec | 59c | 23.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked FK Jablonec | 63c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked FK Jablonec | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked FK Jablonec | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x282b…cc76backed FK Jablonec | 59c | 19.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed FK Jablonec | 67c | 19.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rangers FC (-1.5)this page
- Rangers FC vs. FK Jablonec: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Rangers FC vs. FK Jablonec: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Rangers FC vs. FK Jablonec: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Rangers FC vs. FK Jablonec: FK Jablonec O/U 1.5Under won
- Rangers FC vs. FK Jablonec: O/U 0.5Over won
- Rangers FC vs. FK Jablonec: O/U 1.5Under won
- Rangers FC vs. FK Jablonec: O/U 2.5Under won
- Rangers FC vs. FK Jablonec: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: FK Jablonec (-1.5)Rangers FC won
- Spread: Rangers FC (-2.5)FK Jablonec won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.