Europa Conference League · resolved market
Rangers FC vs. FK Jablonec: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56df9797f89dd0b14c923a0c1bcfa905102b2fff6f603dd0b65a406a0810ee7e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $115,150
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $117,999
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,150 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2220…1a0fbacked Over | 52c | 18,188$9,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,395.41 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Over | 45c | 14,844$6,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,607.77 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 48c | 7,067$3,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,708.44 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 6,392$3,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,856.23 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…067ebacked Over | 41c | 4,961$2,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,034.03 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Over | 41c | 4,680$1,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,901.51 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 52c | 3,617$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,737.35 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…2e83backed Over | 1c | 3,255$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.79 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 47c | 2,988$1,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,593.99 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3d…5fcfbacked Over | 44c | 2,370$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Over | 46c | 2,232$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.37 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 56c | 2,143$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.11 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 47c | 2,058$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.13 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 58c | 1,836$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.45 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29d2…7babbacked Over | 10c | 1,483$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.97 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 55c | 1,172$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.12 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e97…8ffabacked Over | 46c | 1,132$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Over | 2c | 1,015$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -31%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 43c | 952.56$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.5 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…1ef5backed Over | 46c | 756.9$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.48 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -86%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea8…b821backed Under | 56c | 714.61$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.62 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 40c | 345.17$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.49 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Over | 67c | 298.48$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 60c | 253.2$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.28 | 384 | 53.1%204 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 43c | 249$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.83 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Under | 60c | 229.68$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.82 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 42c | 228.57$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.57 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 42c | 226.51$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.4 | 370 | 46.5%172 W · 198 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Over | 42c | 222.22$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.33 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 46c | 222.2$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.45 | 179 | 41.9%75 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 49c | 211$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.83 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Under | 44c | 204.98$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.98 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2afc…317abacked Over | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 58c | 179.44$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.08 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d12ebacked Over | 45c | 177.04$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.02 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 71c | 176.16$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.88 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…e756backed Under | 57c | 171.91$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.92 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 58c | 168.43$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.46 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 43c | 151.85$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.3 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Under | 57c | 150$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…c32abacked Over | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Over | 33c | 137.58$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.8 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 43c | 120.26$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.75 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 58c | 116$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.19 | 134 | 67.9%91 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 37c | 115$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.73 | 335 | 22.4%75 W · 260 L | -43.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 41c | 111$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.51 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22fe…92c1backed Over | 39c | 103.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8227…f436backed Over | 38c | 98.89$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.58 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 44c | 94.69$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.24 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 53c | 81.76$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.07 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 64c | 80$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | -14.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 48c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.9 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…abb2backed Over | 59c | 77.22$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…05a6backed Over | 45c | 66.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -5.3wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked Under | 31c | 64.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.56 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…eebebacked Over | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Over | 39c | 56.87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 83 | 16.9%14 W · 69 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Over | 48c | 56.4$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 33c | 54.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Over | 72c | 53.8$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.74 | 42 | 78.6%33 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Under | 63c | 46.4$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Under | 58c | 43.97$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56d8…f6abbacked Under | 73c | 40.58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c2…190dbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Over | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71e8…2f67backed Over | 66c | 37.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed Over | 39c | 25.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70a0…2dc3backed Over | 39c | 25.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 42c | 24.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb284…b1fbbacked Over | 45c | 24.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rangers FC vs. FK Jablonec: O/U 1.5this page
- Rangers FC vs. FK Jablonec: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Rangers FC vs. FK Jablonec: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Rangers FC vs. FK Jablonec: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Rangers FC vs. FK Jablonec: FK Jablonec O/U 1.5Under won
- Rangers FC vs. FK Jablonec: O/U 0.5Over won
- Rangers FC vs. FK Jablonec: O/U 2.5Under won
- Rangers FC vs. FK Jablonec: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: FK Jablonec (-1.5)Rangers FC won
- Spread: Rangers FC (-1.5)FK Jablonec won
- Spread: Rangers FC (-2.5)FK Jablonec won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.