Asian League · resolved market
Kashima Antlers vs. FC Tōkyō: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8330453e42694289d29dec07d64b2627cee05321a583bc4133f7e1bc0133bada
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,779
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,598
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,779 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 50c | 5,401$2,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,686.83 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 42c | 2,867$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,201.91 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3790…5e8bbacked Over | 71c | 1,077$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.79 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 28c | 714.57$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.8 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 29c | 586.67$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.9 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 226 | 42.5%96 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97dc…d8a5backed Over | 71c | 359.15$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Over | 58c | 300$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 57c | 272.06$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.96 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Over | 42c | 265.81$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.64 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd1…344fbacked Over | 32c | 214.22$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Under | 29c | 175$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked Over | 71c | 101.41$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf709…7697backed Under | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 66c | 90.83$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…0b3bbacked Over | 50c | 86$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4099…8c46backed Under | 58c | 85.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c25…6bbcbacked Over | 49c | 85.12$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.91 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee01…b01fbacked Under | 49c | 82.62$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.49 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…9a6abacked Over | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47d9…54b7backed Under | 74c | 67.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x663c…bb68backed Under | 32c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 63c | 53.13$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 188 | 38.8%73 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Over | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -43%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2d…d35bbacked Over | 43c | 49.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 48.62$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Over | 71c | 46.48$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 31 | 80.6%25 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebc…01c6backed Under | 53c | 43.4$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23ff…94f0backed Over | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca3…ec90backed Over | 71c | 40.1$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.1wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb0…20b4backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 63c | 34.71$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…6ef0backed Under | 58c | 34.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 32c | 34.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 56c | 31.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 43c | 30.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Over | 52c | 29.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 35c | 28.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0195…9f64backed Over | 72c | 27.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 65c | 26.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 257 | 42%108 W · 149 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00b4…87bfbacked Over | 63c | 22.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -8.8wins | -0.28per pick | 59cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…88e7backed Over | 71c | 21.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed Over | 50c | 21.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 326 | 54%176 W · 150 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 70c | 19.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kashima Antlers vs. FC Tōkyō: O/U 1.5this page
- Kashima Antlers vs. FC Tōkyō: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Kashima Antlers vs. FC Tōkyō: O/U 2.5Under won
- Kashima Antlers vs. FC Tōkyō: O/U 3.5Under won
- Kashima Antlers vs. FC Tōkyō: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Tōkyō (-1.5)Kashima Antlers won
- Spread: Kashima Antlers (-1.5)FC Tōkyō won
- Spread: Kashima Antlers (-2.5)FC Tōkyō won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.