CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Young Ninjas vs Lilmix (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Closed Qualifier Group C
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e06e1479e7accf8fbe44a0e8775683ce2ef2fd6129ce18cc624ee451f92e664
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Young Ninjasof Young Ninjas, Lilmix
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,701
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,919
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,701 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Young Ninjas | 72c | 1,691$1,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.69 | 5,028 | 55%2,763 W · 2,265 L | +112.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Young Ninjas | 72c | 1,280$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.61 | 2,610 | 51.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L | +16.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Lilmix | 21c | 1,180$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.35 | 5,810 | 37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L | +78.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…4771backed Lilmix | 29c | 792.21$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233 | 192 | 45.8%88 W · 104 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae10…09e3backed Lilmix | 27c | 479.08$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.27 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x254b…e8abbacked Lilmix | 28c | 429.08$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.89 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Lilmix | 27c | 361.48$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.6 | 1,606 | 46.8%752 W · 854 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Lilmix | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 1,277 | 21.9%280 W · 997 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Young Ninjas | 78c | 291.08$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.1 | 6,466 | 42.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L | -78.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Young Ninjas | 79c | 262.56$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.87 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Young Ninjas | 71c | 255.66$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.92 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Lilmix | 27c | 230.8$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.28 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Young Ninjas | 73c | 224.32$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.57 | 1,998 | 53.7%1,073 W · 925 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8a…76a2backed Lilmix | 27c | 214.81$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Lilmix | 32c | 214.42$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.61 | 2,520 | 43%1,084 W · 1,436 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8248…c0b2backed Young Ninjas | 75c | 200$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 207 | 50.7%105 W · 102 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…4030backed Lilmix | 31c | 196.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Lilmix | 26c | 180.92$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35f0…971ebacked Lilmix | 15c | 180.16$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.87 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Lilmix | 30c | 179.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.18 | 912 | 45.8%418 W · 494 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40fc…498dbacked Lilmix | 28c | 178.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Young Ninjas | 71c | 173$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.17 | 738 | 54.5%402 W · 336 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Lilmix | 28c | 122.81$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.39 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Lilmix | 27c | 107.28$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.97 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Lilmix | 12c | 95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 807 | 41.3%333 W · 474 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lilmix | 16c | 92.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked Young Ninjas | 73c | 91.31$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 583 | 45.3%264 W · 319 L | -16.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Young Ninjas | 64c | 89.11$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.64 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed Lilmix | 25c | 88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 441 | 44.2%195 W · 246 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Young Ninjas | 73c | 64.04$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.51 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Young Ninjas | 71c | 62.59$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.01 | 498 | 56.6%282 W · 216 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Young Ninjas | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 446 | 75.3%336 W · 110 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Young Ninjas | 70c | 51.12$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 1,605 | 52.6%845 W · 760 L | +57.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ece…3b9bbacked Young Ninjas | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50dc…b61abacked Lilmix | 23c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed Young Ninjas | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 835 | 56.2%469 W · 366 L | +31.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0195…9f64backed Young Ninjas | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Young Ninjas | 70c | 36.4$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 1,828 | 47.6%871 W · 957 L | -54.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Young Ninjas | 76c | 33.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88c7…febcbacked Young Ninjas | 73c | 20.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94c0…a805backed Young Ninjas | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 119 | 58.8%70 W · 49 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Young Ninjas vs Lilmix (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Closed Qualifier Group Cthis page
- Counter-Strike: Young Ninjas vs Lilmix - Map 1 WinnerYoung Ninjas won
- Counter-Strike: Young Ninjas vs Lilmix - Map 2 WinnerLilmix won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.