Tennis · resolved market
ITF M15 Mistelbach Men: Facundo Yunis vs Thilo Behrmann
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e85066d1da2cb1ff92cbb594bb894d2526fe80b525827040c704e1b8c75614f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thilo Behrmannof Facundo Yunis, Thilo Behrmann
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,171
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,427
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,171 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b25…7a69backed Facundo Yunis | 26c | 3,087$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.72 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Thilo Behrmann | 74c | 2,461$1,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.87 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Facundo Yunis | 10c | 1,900$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Thilo Behrmann | 74c | 982.19$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.37 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Facundo Yunis | 21c | 196.15$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.34 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8468…3860backed Thilo Behrmann | 71c | 187.97$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.97 | 242 | 31%75 W · 167 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Facundo Yunis | 26c | 183.88$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.81 | 588 | 57.7%339 W · 249 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ab…68b6backed Facundo Yunis | 22c | 127.27$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 112 | 14.3%16 W · 96 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Facundo Yunis | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Thilo Behrmann | 66c | 106.06$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.06 | 282 | 55%155 W · 127 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Facundo Yunis | 34c | 98.1$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.35 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Facundo Yunis | 16c | 88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Facundo Yunis | 17c | 75.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e8…c60ebacked Thilo Behrmann | 74c | 70$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 374 | 60.4%226 W · 148 L | +29.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Facundo Yunis | 20c | 65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 648 | 37.5%243 W · 405 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Thilo Behrmann | 78c | 61.45$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0195…9f64backed Thilo Behrmann | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 257 | 68.9%177 W · 80 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked Thilo Behrmann | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 168 | 67.9%114 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Thilo Behrmann | 79c | 24.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Thilo Behrmann | 65c | 16.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.