Tennis · resolved market
ITF M25 Ueberlingen Men: Mika Petkovic vs Tim Handel
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x608c64e84bfaed3e5d16a6fa1982e39c9b1487f118c5df0dc9f1a29979220492
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tim Handelof Mika Petkovic, Tim Handel
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,082
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,158
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,082 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mika Petkovic | 32c | 1,932$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.34 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Tim Handel | 72c | 1,114$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.45 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tim Handel | 48c | 449.88$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.42 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882e…e0a1backed Mika Petkovic | 72c | 248.34$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.46 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | -11.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Tim Handel | 61c | 223.91$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.11 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tim Handel | 36c | 206.64$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.16 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Mika Petkovic | 25c | 189.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 648 | 37.5%243 W · 405 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Mika Petkovic | 59c | 154.85$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.75 | 788 | 38.2%301 W · 487 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86a0…cd11backed Tim Handel | 33c | 150.82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.82 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…4d10backed Tim Handel | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Tim Handel | 76c | 104.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.95 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…0ab1backed Mika Petkovic | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 398 | 44.2%176 W · 222 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Mika Petkovic | 69c | 86.96$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Tim Handel | 57c | 76.08$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.74 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Tim Handel | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Tim Handel | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Tim Handel | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Tim Handel | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcd…c00fbacked Tim Handel | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0195…9f64backed Mika Petkovic | 78c | 64.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 257 | 68.9%177 W · 80 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Tim Handel | 24c | 55.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.27 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Tim Handel | 31c | 46.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.33 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Tim Handel | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Tim Handel | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…ef78backed Mika Petkovic | 69c | 43.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…016abacked Mika Petkovic | 67c | 43.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 370 | 58.4%216 W · 154 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Tim Handel | 75c | 37.53$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Mika Petkovic | 76c | 35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…68a0backed Mika Petkovic | 69c | 34.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Tim Handel | 77c | 34.78$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Mika Petkovic | 71c | 33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Mika Petkovic | 76c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 690 | 47%324 W · 366 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77e6…0ae1backed Mika Petkovic | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 158 | 64.6%102 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Mika Petkovic | 69c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Mika Petkovic | 74c | 23.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4c…afe5backed Mika Petkovic | 74c | 13.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.