Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will HNK Hajduk Split win on 2026-07-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1ce91a96da0580d6f694d11d6abd6a615a451fd53be6dba898c1d25fcce645a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $124,648
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $123,402
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,648 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 33c | 19,096$6,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,226.46 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 42c | 14,457$6,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,139.9 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 61c | 14,389$8,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,646.66 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 58c | 12,500$7,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,249.98 | 212 | 37.3%79 W · 133 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 68c | 7,200$4,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,340 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 59c | 5,094$3,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,089.6 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 38c | 4,094$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550.27 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf78b…3a8abacked Yes | 42c | 3,946$1,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f45…5390backed Yes | 30c | 3,468$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.52 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 42c | 3,399$1,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,427.37 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Yes | 42c | 3,321$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394.8 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 68c | 2,880$1,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 34c | 2,785$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,838.86 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x999d…a1e1backed Yes | 41c | 2,772$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.64 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Yes | 68c | 2,575$1,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 68c | 2,520$1,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes | 22c | 2,502$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.44 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +8.1wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +108.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed No | 42c | 2,456$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,418.88 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 68c | 2,160$1,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 43c | 1,886$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.2 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 54c | 1,863$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.14 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 67c | 1,641$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.06 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8973…f760backed Yes | 27c | 1,500$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed No | 68c | 1,462$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.93 | 116 | 74.1%86 W · 30 L | +18.9wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked No | 78c | 1,282$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.66 | 130 | 67.7%88 W · 42 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed No | 78c | 1,282$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.04 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +6.5wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 65c | 1,200$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.99 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +7.7wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…9b21backed No | 44c | 1,080$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.63 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfe…c83cbacked No | 73c | 1,058$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.91 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 37c | 978.1$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.01 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 35c | 969.49$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.13 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed No | 62c | 967.74$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.74 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d74…a37fbacked Yes | 57c | 960.9$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.39 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 56c | 930.73$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.34 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 43c | 930$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.74 | 172 | 33.7%58 W · 114 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed No | 73c | 917.13$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.63 | 60 | 73.3%44 W · 16 L | +9.6wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 76c | 857$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.78 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…b629backed Yes | 26c | 841.05$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.02 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +11.0wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +86.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 68c | 720$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 68c | 720$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 68c | 720$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 68c | 704$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.8 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 44c | 697.51$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.61 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 68c | 690$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.25 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 57c | 653.61$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.08 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a0…7e90backed No | 56c | 638.77$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.55 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 52c | 625.81$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | +12.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 67c | 619.57$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.66 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed No | 67c | 594$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.5 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 68c | 576$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.2 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 68c | 576$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.2 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +9.3wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Yes | 43c | 512$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.6 | 275 | 45.8%126 W · 149 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 54c | 483.78$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.55 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7f…6b36backed Yes | 27c | 475.81$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.85 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…2500backed No | 43c | 465.35$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.36 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Yes | 41c | 441.47$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.06 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -5.8wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x101c…0e79backed No | 76c | 430.26$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 29c | 428.04$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.16 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Yes | 59c | 415.25$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 57c | 408$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.86 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 36c | 396.92$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.49 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb8…067cbacked No | 68c | 377.99$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.11 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 45c | 377.21$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.67 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 65c | 371.65$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.65 | 179 | 41.9%75 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 58c | 368.13$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.62 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed No | 47c | 363.34$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.84 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 68c | 360$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 67c | 360$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc09b…1478backed Yes | 27c | 351.85$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 66c | 348.67$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.28 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 41c | 320.71$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.41 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 57c | 312.75$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.93 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed No | 68c | 309.01$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.45 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Yes | 40c | 308.7$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.48 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked No | 65c | 304.53$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.77 | 156 | 28.2%44 W · 112 L | -15.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 68c | 288$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked Yes | 20c | 286$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.62 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed No | 72c | 277.75$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.77 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 68c | 272$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.4 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…5513backed Yes | 44c | 270.66$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.27 | 280 | 12.9%36 W · 244 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed No | 63c | 269.73$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.85 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Yes | 43c | 267.72$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.8 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x425e…ecfabacked Yes | 38c | 264$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 21c | 252.77$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.48 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb643…0684backed Yes | 45c | 238.9$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1c…ca9dbacked Yes | 43c | 234.88$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…86b2backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…d55ebacked Yes | 24c | 217.5$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.89 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Yes | 41c | 212.17$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.48 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…1576backed No | 57c | 207$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.01 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…4e96backed Yes | 27c | 205.07$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Yes | 58c | 200.79$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.94 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 42c | 199.29$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.59 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x946f…67c1backed Yes | 51c | 196.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked No | 74c | 195$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Yes | 44c | 190.9$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Yes | 46c | 190$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.25 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 43c | 189.96$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.58 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed No | 62c | 184.69$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.52 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 67c | 180$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 71 | 66.2%47 W · 24 L | +8.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will HNK Hajduk Split win on 2026-07-16?this page
- Will MŠK Žilina vs. HNK Hajduk Split end in a draw?No won
- Will MŠK Žilina win on 2026-07-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.