Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FK Rīgas Futbola Skola win on 2026-07-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07f4dd923725feb5664cccbae01c3d6b55097de85995b3362823ae3938364640
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,316
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,738
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,316 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 51c | 13,522$6,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,566.09 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 49c | 3,600$1,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,764 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 49c | 2,884$1,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,412.87 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed No | 46c | 1,333$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.32 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 49c | 1,260$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.4 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 49c | 1,094$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.06 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 49c | 1,080$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.2 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 33c | 1,079$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.56 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Yes | 70c | 968.22$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.38 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 40cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 71c | 843.17$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.19 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 30c | 675.05$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.4 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 3c | 601$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Yes | 72c | 549.14$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.76 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked No | 15c | 510$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.54 | 156 | 28.2%44 W · 112 L | -15.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed No | 3c | 366.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 49c | 360$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.4 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 49c | 360$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.4 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 49c | 360$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.4 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 49c | 360$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.4 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 49c | 352$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.48 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 49c | 345$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.05 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 49c | 288$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.12 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 49c | 288$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.12 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +9.3wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes | 60c | 239.48$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.12 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed No | 40c | 229$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.48 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…01febacked No | 39c | 226.5$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.38 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf81a…719abacked No | 25c | 191.18$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.73 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 30c | 190.16$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.52 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb8…067cbacked No | 50c | 189$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 75c | 184.64$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.16 | 170 | 59.4%101 W · 69 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 44c | 180$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 49c | 180$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 71 | 66.2%47 W · 24 L | +8.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Yes | 71c | 179.13$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.95 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked No | 49c | 172$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.28 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed Yes | 56c | 156.96$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed No | 35c | 151.22$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.93 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…d55ebacked No | 14c | 151$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 69c | 148.12$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.79 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed No | 33c | 136$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.88 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 49c | 136$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.64 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Yes | 64c | 132.85$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.83 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…1525backed No | 32c | 128$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.96 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 65c | 124$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Yes | 65c | 120$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 45c | 110.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 68c | 110.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.48 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked No | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 14c | 92.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 234 | 61.5%144 W · 90 L | +26.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…b543backed No | 29c | 92.22$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.74 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 72c | 86.54$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 31c | 79.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked Yes | 62c | 74.4$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked No | 29c | 72.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes | 68c | 69.75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 218 | 40.4%88 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 29c | 64.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed No | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x648f…fc85backed Yes | 56c | 60.16$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.47 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 49c | 54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 28c | 49.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16f5…c651backed No | 40c | 49.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 36c | 48.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 370 | 43.8%162 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Yes | 56c | 46$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 64c | 45.82$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed No | 49c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…d2cabacked Yes | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e31…d5fdbacked Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 73cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x648d…0ebdbacked Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6522…3a5abacked Yes | 63c | 26.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 71c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Yes | 69c | 24.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Yes | 68c | 23.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8d…9c0bbacked Yes | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 61cpaid | -56%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Yes | 71c | 21.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes | 61c | 19.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x263c…6540backed Yes | 70c | 17.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc038…07d0backed Yes | 66c | 16.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 70c | 14.68$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.46 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FK Rīgas Futbola Skola win on 2026-07-16?this page
- Will FK Rīgas Futbola Skola vs. Glentoran FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Glentoran FC win on 2026-07-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.