Europa Conference League · resolved market
Glentoran FC vs. FK Rīgas Futbola Skola: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x508ed3c7ee1b8970d4a4ca25cdba58dd78a2fb1e483af6865581bf2430933870
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,307
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,701
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,307 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 45c | 20,481$9,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,138.43 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 54c | 3,161$1,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,445.87 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Over | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x946a…2360backed Under | 55c | 1,833$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Under | 44c | 1,821$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.34 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 56c | 1,813$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.86 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 56c | 1,559$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.74 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Over | 55c | 1,200$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 45c | 1,146$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.09 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Over | 55c | 1,104$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.8 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 56c | 1,071$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.43 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Over | 55c | 1,050$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.5 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Over | 55c | 899.99$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 52c | 888.52$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.8 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc6…4b55backed Over | 56c | 625$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb8…067cbacked Over | 56c | 600$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.84 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 38c | 541.38$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.27 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Over | 55c | 456$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.2 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Over | 56c | 446$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.24 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Over | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Over | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Over | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Over | 55c | 299.99$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Over | 55c | 294$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.3 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Over | 55c | 288$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.6 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 56c | 280.85$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.57 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 56c | 272.51$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.92 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…810cbacked Over | 35c | 268.57$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.57 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 41cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 68c | 247.5$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.01 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Over | 55c | 240$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Over | 55c | 240$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +9.3wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 55c | 227$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.15 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 55c | 227$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.15 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 55c | 227$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.15 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 56c | 197.21$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.83 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Over | 55c | 180$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Over | 55c | 180$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Over | 55c | 180$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Over | 55c | 150$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Over | 55c | 150$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Over | 55c | 150$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 71 | 66.2%47 W · 24 L | +8.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Over | 55c | 114$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b42…7cbebacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 56c | 94.64$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.64 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 44c | 67.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…f09fbacked Over | 59c | 61.02$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 34c | 59.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.52 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 147 | 67.3%99 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over | 55c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…01febacked Over | 58c | 44.64$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 58c | 40.73$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 384 | 53.1%204 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 43c | 36.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 55c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Glentoran FC vs. FK Rīgas Futbola Skola: O/U 2.5this page
- Glentoran FC vs. FK Rīgas Futbola Skola: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Glentoran FC vs. FK Rīgas Futbola Skola: FK Rīgas Futbola Skola O/U 1.5Over won
- Glentoran FC vs. FK Rīgas Futbola Skola: O/U 1.5Over won
- Glentoran FC vs. FK Rīgas Futbola Skola: O/U 3.5Under won
- Glentoran FC vs. FK Rīgas Futbola Skola: O/U 4.5Under won
- Glentoran FC vs. FK Rīgas Futbola Skola: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FK Rīgas Futbola Skola (-1.5)Glentoran FC won
- Spread: Glentoran FC (-2.5)FK Rīgas Futbola Skola won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.