Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: FK Rīgas Futbola Skola (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91ac553735a9bfd15454eec27be9eaedb330cb440d17104fa2eb9360a0242f93
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FK Rīgas Futbola Skolaof FK Rīgas Futbola Skola, Glentoran FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,718
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,819
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,718 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked FK Rīgas Futbola Skola | 45c | 3,558$1,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,966.38 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked FK Rīgas Futbola Skola | 49c | 1,647$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.17 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked FK Rīgas Futbola Skola | 41c | 1,502$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.69 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Glentoran FC | 58c | 1,440$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.2 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4956…e2c7backed FK Rīgas Futbola Skola | 41c | 1,412$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.18 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Glentoran FC | 58c | 1,400$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.98 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Glentoran FC | 59c | 1,260$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.4 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Glentoran FC | 59c | 1,080$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.2 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Glentoran FC | 56c | 1,071$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked FK Rīgas Futbola Skola | 48c | 854.98$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.59 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Glentoran FC | 51c | 613.72$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed FK Rīgas Futbola Skola | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Glentoran FC | 59c | 547$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.73 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed FK Rīgas Futbola Skola | 58c | 498.87$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.94 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed FK Rīgas Futbola Skola | 46c | 479.63$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed FK Rīgas Futbola Skola | 71c | 406.72$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.7 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Glentoran FC | 51c | 386.27$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfce…5c3ebacked FK Rīgas Futbola Skola | 44c | 369.16$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.73 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Glentoran FC | 52c | 366.29$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.47 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Glentoran FC | 58c | 360$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.8 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Glentoran FC | 58c | 360$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.8 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0f…d336backed Glentoran FC | 55c | 336.36$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked FK Rīgas Futbola Skola | 40c | 280.24$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.15 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed FK Rīgas Futbola Skola | 49c | 274.47$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.65 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed Glentoran FC | 57c | 229.82$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +61%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Glentoran FC | 51c | 200$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb8…067cbacked Glentoran FC | 59c | 189$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.51 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Glentoran FC | 58c | 180$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.4 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Glentoran FC | 56c | 180$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.47 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Glentoran FC | 58c | 180$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.4 | 71 | 66.2%47 W · 24 L | +8.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb986…0023backed Glentoran FC | 57c | 170.31$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Glentoran FC | 52c | 151.92$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked FK Rīgas Futbola Skola | 43c | 138.05$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Glentoran FC | 59c | 136$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.24 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…f040backed Glentoran FC | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 5.6%2 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed FK Rīgas Futbola Skola | 53c | 107.74$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.67 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…01febacked Glentoran FC | 56c | 107$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.92 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked FK Rīgas Futbola Skola | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 106 | 27.4%29 W · 77 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked Glentoran FC | 59c | 86$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.74 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Glentoran FC | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Glentoran FC | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Glentoran FC | 58c | 57.02$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.07 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Glentoran FC | 53c | 54.22$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Glentoran FC | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed FK Rīgas Futbola Skola | 77c | 44$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6522…3a5abacked FK Rīgas Futbola Skola | 42c | 42.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Glentoran FC | 57c | 40.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked FK Rīgas Futbola Skola | 43c | 39.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16f5…c651backed Glentoran FC | 58c | 35.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd60…c454backed Glentoran FC | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…c0fabacked Glentoran FC | 58c | 32.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed FK Rīgas Futbola Skola | 40c | 29.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.84 | 370 | 43.8%162 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed FK Rīgas Futbola Skola | 72c | 28.63$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00c5…b5e9backed Glentoran FC | 57c | 20.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Glentoran FC | 60c | 19.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Glentoran FC | 58c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Glentoran FC | 59c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FK Rīgas Futbola Skola (-1.5)this page
- FK Rīgas Futbola Skola vs. Glentoran FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FK Rīgas Futbola Skola vs. Glentoran FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FK Rīgas Futbola Skola vs. Glentoran FC: Glentoran FC O/U 0.5Under won
- FK Rīgas Futbola Skola vs. Glentoran FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- FK Rīgas Futbola Skola vs. Glentoran FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- FK Rīgas Futbola Skola vs. Glentoran FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- FK Rīgas Futbola Skola vs. Glentoran FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- FK Rīgas Futbola Skola vs. Glentoran FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- FK Rīgas Futbola Skola vs. Glentoran FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FK Rīgas Futbola Skola (-2.5)Glentoran FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.