Europa Conference League · resolved market
FK Rīgas Futbola Skola vs. Glentoran FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83d9382e9649915f1c1bfea70dd611b3eba3f3304899530a543aff26ac86e2e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,450
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,549
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,450 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 51c | 6,305$3,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,203.2 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Under | 62c | 2,118$1,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.92 | 127 | 70.9%90 W · 37 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 49c | 1,718$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.03 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 41c | 1,697$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.39 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 50c | 669.63$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.54 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Under | 38c | 600.51$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.32 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 62c | 584.19$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.47 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over | 47c | 510$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.48 | 156 | 28.2%44 W · 112 L | -15.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 49c | 462$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.31 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 34c | 447$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.65 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 69c | 202$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.32 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Over | 31c | 188$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.28 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 44c | 158.05$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.09 | 370 | 46.5%172 W · 198 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 45c | 149$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.95 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 46c | 127.93$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.45 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 42c | 123.82$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over | 63c | 101.6$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 53c | 96.52$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.52 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 42c | 94.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.77 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 39c | 89.15$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.38 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 43c | 87.4$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.58 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +17.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Under | 23c | 86.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.95 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +28%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 61c | 77.32$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 51c | 67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.42 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d8…3b2bbacked Over | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 59c | 54.61$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…a787backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 42c | 42.71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.77 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…0665backed Over | 47c | 39.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…61febacked Under | 50c | 35.26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd60…c454backed Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 206 | 60.2%124 W · 82 L | -15.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 72c | 32.13$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3207…86d9backed Over | 65c | 32.06$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f2…131dbacked Over | 61c | 31.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b30…7976backed Under | 35c | 30.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb36c…da2fbacked Under | 37c | 28.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2a…4214backed Over | 48c | 24.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 46c | 24.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e85…3b3bbacked Over | 71c | 23.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 61c | 23.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 58c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7552…3d52backed Over | 79c | 12.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FK Rīgas Futbola Skola vs. Glentoran FC: O/U 2.5this page
- FK Rīgas Futbola Skola vs. Glentoran FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FK Rīgas Futbola Skola vs. Glentoran FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FK Rīgas Futbola Skola vs. Glentoran FC: Glentoran FC O/U 0.5Under won
- FK Rīgas Futbola Skola vs. Glentoran FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- FK Rīgas Futbola Skola vs. Glentoran FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- FK Rīgas Futbola Skola vs. Glentoran FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- FK Rīgas Futbola Skola vs. Glentoran FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- FK Rīgas Futbola Skola vs. Glentoran FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FK Rīgas Futbola Skola (-1.5)FK Rīgas Futbola Skola won
- Spread: FK Rīgas Futbola Skola (-2.5)Glentoran FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.