Europa Conference League · resolved market
FK Rīgas Futbola Skola vs. Glentoran FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36fab0122cdc8c1f4532beb4eb699ff5411d15bf276ed492d953879cc6879e20
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,108
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,454
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,108 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Over | 21c | 1,293$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.14 | 84 | 20.2%17 W · 67 L | -12.1wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 79c | 872.25$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.17 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 15c | 833.35$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.44 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 77c | 633.26$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.14 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 6c | 423.38$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 27c | 238.17$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.06 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over | 32c | 209.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.9 | 156 | 28.2%44 W · 112 L | -15.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 67c | 122.66$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.55 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…a02dbacked Over | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 79c | 104.05$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…5513backed Over | 21c | 104.05$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 280 | 12.9%36 W · 244 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Under | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 79c | 88$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4789…994abacked Under | 72c | 72$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FK Rīgas Futbola Skola vs. Glentoran FC: O/U 4.5this page
- FK Rīgas Futbola Skola vs. Glentoran FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FK Rīgas Futbola Skola vs. Glentoran FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FK Rīgas Futbola Skola vs. Glentoran FC: Glentoran FC O/U 0.5Under won
- FK Rīgas Futbola Skola vs. Glentoran FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- FK Rīgas Futbola Skola vs. Glentoran FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- FK Rīgas Futbola Skola vs. Glentoran FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- FK Rīgas Futbola Skola vs. Glentoran FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- FK Rīgas Futbola Skola vs. Glentoran FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FK Rīgas Futbola Skola (-1.5)FK Rīgas Futbola Skola won
- Spread: FK Rīgas Futbola Skola (-2.5)Glentoran FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.