TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$106,318
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$106,814

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,318 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x04d5…66d8backed Over43c72,969$31,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,314.35750.9%29 W · 28 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under58c23,005$13,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,772.542,51939%982 W · 1,537 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under62c21,075$12,981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,093.778,11248.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L+27.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d67…6b86backed Under57c10,000$5,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,300250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over37c10,000$3,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,699.9117146.2%79 W · 92 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb511…e800backed Under57c7,896$4,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,395.34728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-29.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over44c5,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20034747.6%165 W · 182 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under56c3,643$2,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,587.014337.2%16 W · 27 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-31.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Over40c3,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.995952.5%31 W · 28 L+6.2wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under58c2,748$1,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,143.282,28734.3%784 W · 1,503 L-30.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Under57c2,458$1,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,056.7719447.9%93 W · 101 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under57c2,360$1,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,012.833,40751.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under57c2,002$1,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$850.661,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under57c2,000$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8501,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under57c1,784$1,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.781,94551.3%998 W · 947 L+40.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under57c1,629$929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.6824855.2%137 W · 111 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Under57c1,568$894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.2422457.1%128 W · 96 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under64c1,257$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.385,76245.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L+94.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Over44c1,244$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.238746%40 W · 47 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under65c928.29$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.841,44745.9%664 W · 783 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under61c857.74$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.421,29643%557 W · 739 L+0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under57c600$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25824053.8%129 W · 111 L-0.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under61c598$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.6972258.6%423 W · 299 L+28.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb964…033ebacked Over24c527.48$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.2211454.4%62 W · 52 L+10.2wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+26.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5ee0…d6a6backed Over44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2203756.8%21 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under57c438$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.3431240.1%125 W · 187 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Under57c437.56$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.2716549.1%81 W · 84 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under57c400$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17219559.5%116 W · 79 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under62c369$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.841662%258 W · 158 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Under59c362.4$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.2119548.7%95 W · 100 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under62c359.98$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.3563261.2%387 W · 245 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed Under57c342.35$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.2116751.5%86 W · 81 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7525…fd3cbacked Under57c258.63$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.21425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over42c255.98$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.5118151.4%93 W · 88 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Over44c235.5$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.6218247.8%87 W · 95 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x240a…814cbacked Under63c203.76$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.394100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+57.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbedb…6bc3backed Under63c203.75$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.394100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+59.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Under57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864850%24 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8824956.6%141 W · 108 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864452.3%23 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8621358.7%125 W · 88 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8628851.7%149 W · 139 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8623056.5%130 W · 100 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5519…f7e1backed Over34c199.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Under57c176$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.433759.5%22 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x536e…4fd5backed Over44c170.39$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.972157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under57c165.26$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.253,75538.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over27c160.96$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.9985220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked Under57c156$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.0815359.5%91 W · 62 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under57c150$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.578856.3%444 W · 344 L+23.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6feb…c082backed Under57c145.39$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.523135.5%11 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under58c142.88$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.991,30350.1%653 W · 650 L-14.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under63c141.37$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.3126465.9%174 W · 90 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd577…c012backed Over44c136.36$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605354.7%29 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa965…7f73backed Over37c135$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.959447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under67c128.02$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.7535046.3%162 W · 188 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88c5…4815backed Under57c121.18$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.928950.6%45 W · 44 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over17c119.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9653836.8%198 W · 340 L-24.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a41…f527backed Over44c108.69$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.822958.6%17 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe026…f409backed Under57c103.15$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.153243.8%14 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-26.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x085d…c89ebacked Under57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431560%9 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4315560%93 W · 62 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfcb8…067cbacked Under57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under57c83.17$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.462,61454.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L+25.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under54c74.44$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.2432139.6%127 W · 194 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over46c74.44$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2451750.7%262 W · 255 L+28.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over38c74.08$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1550643.9%222 W · 284 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfd1…2647backed Over30c70$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215236.5%19 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd924…7bc2backed Over45c66.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010044%44 W · 56 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under64c64.56$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.262,17343.6%948 W · 1,225 L-55.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed Under57c58.3$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.0714463.9%92 W · 52 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under61c55.4$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3833365.5%218 W · 115 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x042d…0b81backed Over42c54.3$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.814149.6%70 W · 71 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under57c53$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7949136.3%178 W · 313 L-2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Under58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2123453%124 W · 110 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Under56c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221833.3%6 W · 12 L-4.6wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-46.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd819…2d80backed Under59c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.514663%92 W · 54 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over29c49.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.52748.1%13 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+27.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x962e…1d75backed Under65c48.21$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.834973.5%36 W · 13 L+6.8wins+0.14per pick60cpaid+24.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x232f…8002backed Over44c44.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.62157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x947d…dff0backed Over44c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.554456.8%25 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10af…2d06backed Over44c43.47$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.131450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaf3…2286backed Under59c40.58$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.641850%9 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Under62c40.29$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.299056.7%51 W · 39 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under57c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.224257%138 W · 104 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under57c35.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1927855.4%154 W · 124 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37b0…799fbacked Under57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0915057.3%86 W · 64 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over43c33.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6120055%110 W · 90 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70b1…73b2backed Under60c32.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.994242.9%18 W · 24 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-27.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Under57c32$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.761369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+22.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x282b…cc76backed Over44c26.08$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.483759.5%22 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bf1…7cb7backed Under57c26.05$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.24461.4%27 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87e8…2ef1backed Under62c20.52$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under57c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.621657.9%125 W · 91 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under57c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.620360.6%123 W · 80 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under57c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.622058.6%129 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9c3…d500backed Under65c19.9$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x147c…2540backed Under58c17.99$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.565952.5%31 W · 28 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-9.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under57c17.6$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.5734155.1%188 W · 153 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.