South American Leagues · resolved market
Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc58fa624a1190326ad58e4cb9242cefc2c22848287fd808d7e214b7feb1c1159
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $106,318
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $106,814
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,318 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x04d5…66d8backed Over | 43c | 72,969$31,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,314.3 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 58c | 23,005$13,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,772.54 | 2,519 | 39%982 W · 1,537 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 21,075$12,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,093.77 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d67…6b86backed Under | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 37c | 10,000$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,699.91 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb511…e800backed Under | 57c | 7,896$4,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,395.34 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 56c | 3,643$2,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,587.01 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Over | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.99 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 58c | 2,748$1,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.28 | 2,287 | 34.3%784 W · 1,503 L | -30.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Under | 57c | 2,458$1,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.77 | 194 | 47.9%93 W · 101 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 57c | 2,360$1,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.83 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 57c | 2,002$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.66 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 57c | 2,000$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 57c | 1,784$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.78 | 1,945 | 51.3%998 W · 947 L | +40.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 57c | 1,629$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.68 | 248 | 55.2%137 W · 111 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Under | 57c | 1,568$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.24 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 64c | 1,257$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.38 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Over | 44c | 1,244$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.23 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 65c | 928.29$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.84 | 1,447 | 45.9%664 W · 783 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 61c | 857.74$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.42 | 1,296 | 43%557 W · 739 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 57c | 600$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 61c | 598$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.69 | 722 | 58.6%423 W · 299 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…033ebacked Over | 24c | 527.48$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.22 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Over | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 57c | 438$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.34 | 312 | 40.1%125 W · 187 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Under | 57c | 437.56$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.27 | 165 | 49.1%81 W · 84 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Under | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 195 | 59.5%116 W · 79 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 62c | 369$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.8 | 416 | 62%258 W · 158 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 59c | 362.4$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.21 | 195 | 48.7%95 W · 100 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 62c | 359.98$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.35 | 632 | 61.2%387 W · 245 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Under | 57c | 342.35$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.21 | 167 | 51.5%86 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7525…fd3cbacked Under | 57c | 258.63$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 42c | 255.98$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.51 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Over | 44c | 235.5$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.62 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x240a…814cbacked Under | 63c | 203.76$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.39 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…6bc3backed Under | 63c | 203.75$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.39 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Under | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 249 | 56.6%141 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Under | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 213 | 58.7%125 W · 88 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 288 | 51.7%149 W · 139 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Under | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 230 | 56.5%130 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…f7e1backed Over | 34c | 199.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Under | 57c | 176$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.43 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…4fd5backed Over | 44c | 170.39$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.97 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 57c | 165.26$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.25 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 27c | 160.96$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.99 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked Under | 57c | 156$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.08 | 153 | 59.5%91 W · 62 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 57c | 150$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 788 | 56.3%444 W · 344 L | +23.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Under | 57c | 145.39$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.52 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 58c | 142.88$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.99 | 1,303 | 50.1%653 W · 650 L | -14.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under | 63c | 141.37$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.31 | 264 | 65.9%174 W · 90 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…c012backed Over | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed Over | 37c | 135$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 67c | 128.02$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.75 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Under | 57c | 121.18$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.92 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 17c | 119.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a41…f527backed Over | 44c | 108.69$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.82 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…f409backed Under | 57c | 103.15$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.15 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…c89ebacked Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb8…067cbacked Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 57c | 83.17$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.46 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 54c | 74.44$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.24 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 46c | 74.44$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.24 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 38c | 74.08$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.15 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd1…2647backed Over | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd924…7bc2backed Over | 45c | 66.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 64c | 64.56$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.26 | 2,173 | 43.6%948 W · 1,225 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Under | 57c | 58.3$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.07 | 144 | 63.9%92 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 61c | 55.4$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.38 | 333 | 65.5%218 W · 115 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Over | 42c | 54.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 57c | 53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 234 | 53%124 W · 110 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Under | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -4.6wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Under | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 146 | 63%92 W · 54 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 29c | 49.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Under | 65c | 48.21$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +6.8wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x232f…8002backed Over | 44c | 44.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x947d…dff0backed Over | 44c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10af…2d06backed Over | 44c | 43.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf3…2286backed Under | 59c | 40.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Under | 62c | 40.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Under | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 242 | 57%138 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 57c | 35.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 278 | 55.4%154 W · 124 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 43c | 33.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Under | 60c | 32.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.99 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Under | 57c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x282b…cc76backed Over | 44c | 26.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf1…7cb7backed Under | 57c | 26.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…2ef1backed Under | 62c | 20.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Under | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 216 | 57.9%125 W · 91 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 203 | 60.6%123 W · 80 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Under | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 220 | 58.6%129 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c3…d500backed Under | 65c | 19.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed Under | 58c | 17.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 57c | 17.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. São Paulo FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. São Paulo FC: Associação Chapecoense de Futebol 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. São Paulo FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. São Paulo FC: São Paulo FC O/U 0.5Under won
- Spread: Associação Chapecoense de Futebol (-1.5)São Paulo FC won
- Spread: São Paulo FC (-1.5)Associação Chapecoense de Futebol won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.