Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Linfield FC win on 2026-07-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x269258c0c917046e620a388e69b8b8a3c582c064164bfd75dfd2c1abe548d546
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,173
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,269
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,173 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 31c | 4,351$1,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,351.51 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 32c | 3,954$1,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,283.19 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 69c | 3,000$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.99 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 31c | 1,935$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.99 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Yes | 31c | 1,616$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 69c | 1,200$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 32c | 1,129$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.19 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed No | 67c | 1,114$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.59 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 69c | 1,104$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.24 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 69c | 1,050$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.5 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 69c | 900$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 69c | 456$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.36 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 71c | 395.61$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.11 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…c0fabacked No | 73c | 377.97$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.05 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 70c | 357$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.1 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 70c | 357$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.1 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked No | 69c | 323.75$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.78 | 69 | 73.9%51 W · 18 L | +19.0wins | +0.28per pick | 46cpaid | +87.8%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…c6b3backed No | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 70c | 303.45$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.04 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 69c | 294$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.14 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 69c | 287.99$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.28 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Yes | 27c | 283.52$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Yes | 31c | 268.7$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.3 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 69c | 240$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.4 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 69c | 240$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.4 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +9.3wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdd09…43aabacked Yes | 33c | 240$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 28c | 228.67$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.23 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked No | 64c | 225.03$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.08 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 10c | 212.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -57%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Yes | 31c | 175.11$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.28 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb8…067cbacked No | 69c | 158$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.98 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 69c | 150$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed No | 69c | 150$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 69c | 150$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 71 | 66.2%47 W · 24 L | +8.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 69c | 149.98$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.49 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 71c | 149.61$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.14 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7a…6c9abacked Yes | 21c | 144.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 32c | 131.13$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.96 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Yes | 29c | 128.44$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.82 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 69c | 120$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 69c | 114$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.34 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 170 | 59.4%101 W · 69 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 96 | 68.8%66 W · 30 L | +11.3wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 71c | 96.47$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.73 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb70b…1668backed Yes | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…c170backed Yes | 13c | 77.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 74c | 76.04$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.77 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Yes | 26c | 76.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 138 | 39.1%54 W · 84 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed No | 72c | 75$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df0…1376backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…1525backed Yes | 33c | 68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 69c | 58.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd76…a60cbacked Yes | 25c | 56.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 78c | 52.3$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Yes | 27c | 49.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 69c | 45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcddd…84f2backed Yes | 37c | 43.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…01febacked No | 68c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 76c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 74c | 30.59$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Yes | 37c | 29.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20eb…87efbacked No | 72c | 29.61$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 68c | 28.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…c118backed No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 62c | 24.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked No | 69c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 72c | 16.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.69 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Linfield FC win on 2026-07-09?this page
- Will Nõmme Kalju FC vs. Linfield FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Nõmme Kalju FC win on 2026-07-09?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.