Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Nõmme Kalju FC win on 2026-07-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74cce8ceff0d994e603a670f90378207cad2cfc2f3f48f0cd2ec732bbb89e4fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,212
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $101,316
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,212 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 64c | 69,614$44,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,885.96 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 35c | 31,172$11,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,159.42 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 36c | 14,838$5,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,460.18 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 35c | 8,315$2,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,367.41 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 41c | 4,868$2,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,850.18 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 50c | 2,749$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,381.77 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed No | 56c | 2,461$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 69c | 2,251$1,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,555.47 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8973…f760backed Yes | 39c | 1,500$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.15 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 41c | 1,433$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.77 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.35 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 33c | 1,263$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.51 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 34c | 1,250$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.09 | 370 | 46.5%172 W · 198 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc12e…7c8abacked Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +106.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Yes | 42c | 812.97$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.97 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 40c | 753.54$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.48 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb76b…d1f0backed No | 3c | 574$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed Yes | 48c | 494.46$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.12 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked No | 64c | 436.94$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.65 | 130 | 67.7%88 W · 42 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Yes | 35c | 428$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.2 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 77c | 396$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.39 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 33c | 378$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.26 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 33c | 378$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.26 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5c…91fcbacked Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed No | 21c | 301$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.21 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 52c | 299.69$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.01 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -57%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 57c | 290$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.3 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 42c | 254.72$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.3 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b77…6ba1backed Yes | 38c | 249.98$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.99 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 42c | 228.28$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.3 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 63c | 228$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.41 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 38c | 212.68$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.35 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 72c | 174.77$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.62 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 47c | 157.48$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.58 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb70b…1668backed Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…5513backed Yes | 39c | 128$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.08 | 280 | 12.9%36 W · 244 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 34c | 126.51$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.44 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 63c | 123.59$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1808…afe2backed No | 32c | 121.25$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 43c | 119.79$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.06 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 43c | 112.88$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.77 | 170 | 59.4%101 W · 69 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 41c | 111.14$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.52 | 200 | 48%96 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 48c | 108.75$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.4 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…1e9abacked Yes | 40c | 107.51$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.51 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 52c | 102$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.04 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x425e…ecfabacked Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…67e6backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.45 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Yes | 41c | 98.01$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.82 | 370 | 43.8%162 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Yes | 44c | 95.98$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.72 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7be…908dbacked No | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed No | 59c | 84.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc40…45f1backed No | 23c | 78.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Yes | 40c | 75.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.92 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 48c | 73.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.39 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33d2…9ac2backed Yes | 36c | 73.8$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.91 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…203abacked Yes | 40c | 71.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…1525backed Yes | 35c | 68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 37c | 66.93$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.1 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 64c | 63.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 48c | 62.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.6 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 54c | 56.51$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.7 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Yes | 41c | 54.22$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.99 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…ccedbacked Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 51c | 51.49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Yes | 41c | 50.71$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.72 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Yes | 36c | 47.41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.25 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +22%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed No | 71c | 43.2$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.54 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Yes | 43c | 42.11$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.06 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +7.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -7.5wins | -0.15per pick | 66cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed No | 49c | 37.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 155 | 62.6%97 W · 58 L | +22.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbe…f8d9backed Yes | 41c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Yes | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 266 | 47.4%126 W · 140 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 58c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 218 | 40.4%88 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce0…9d0bbacked Yes | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed No | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb868…5e23backed Yes | 37c | 28.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb2…8578backed Yes | 37c | 28.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 44 | 79.5%35 W · 9 L | +8.0wins | +0.18per pick | 61cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1b90…43ffbacked No | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nõmme Kalju FC win on 2026-07-09?this page
- Will Linfield FC win on 2026-07-09?No won
- Will Nõmme Kalju FC vs. Linfield FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.