Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC Milsami Orhei win on 2026-07-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe9bf7c3aaac8acc1bf77a2af39ee58ed6d91633d39bab80cfbc4e883f44c332
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,611
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,998
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,611 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 36c | 9,674$3,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,489.11 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 65c | 3,600$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 65c | 1,440$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 65c | 1,260$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 65c | 1,080$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 71c | 1,051$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.72 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 37c | 1,002$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.38 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes | 41c | 1,000$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 31c | 931.18$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.23 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 21c | 853.65$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.85 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 59c | 565.23$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.91 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 65c | 547$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.45 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 61c | 514.66$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.02 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed No | 69c | 489$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.79 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 40c | 471$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.46 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked No | 60c | 464.58$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.83 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 70c | 458$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.46 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed No | 55c | 457.69$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.96 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…8fc6backed Yes | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 65c | 360$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 65c | 360$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 65c | 360$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 65c | 360$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 65c | 352$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.2 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 65c | 345$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.75 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 31c | 313.42$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.66 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed No | 63c | 300.89$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.4 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 65c | 288$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 65c | 288$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +9.3wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed No | 59c | 285.72$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked No | 58c | 280$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.6 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…c7a6backed Yes | 36c | 240.88$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 58c | 199.4$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.75 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb8…067cbacked No | 64c | 189$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.04 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 65c | 180$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 65c | 180$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 71 | 66.2%47 W · 24 L | +8.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…5513backed Yes | 43c | 177.91$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 280 | 12.9%36 W · 244 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x580b…0522backed No | 58c | 174.14$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.14 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked No | 65c | 172$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.2 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 41c | 150$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.75 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 65c | 136$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Yes | 33c | 122.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.28 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Yes | 42c | 114.28$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 70c | 105.49$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.36 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 170 | 59.4%101 W · 69 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed No | 59c | 83$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.03 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed No | 59c | 81.76$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.52 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…31c4backed Yes | 41c | 79.01$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.14 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c6…19e2backed No | 42c | 76$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.46 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Yes | 42c | 74.11$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.88 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c8…7c4cbacked No | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.9 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f79…d807backed Yes | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc95d…d369backed Yes | 29c | 58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 65c | 54$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Yes | 42c | 52.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…dc9cbacked Yes | 43c | 51.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Yes | 43c | 50.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 40cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbef0…69c8backed Yes | 34c | 49.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 58c | 45.21$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked No | 58c | 44.56$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…ccedbacked Yes | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes | 71c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -7.5wins | -0.15per pick | 66cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked No | 69c | 37.23$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 57c | 37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8d…9c0bbacked Yes | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 61cpaid | -56%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 29c | 35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf24f…15b2backed Yes | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -7.7wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes | 38c | 31.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Yes | 41c | 30.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16f5…c651backed No | 64c | 28.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Yes | 40c | 27.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 64c | 27.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 43c | 26.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…1525backed No | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 57c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 108 | 63.9%69 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 65c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 65c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed No | 65c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 64c | 17.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.34 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Milsami Orhei win on 2026-07-16?this page
- Will FC Milsami Orhei vs. FK Velež Mostar end in a draw?No won
- Will FK Velež Mostar win on 2026-07-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.