Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FK Velež Mostar win on 2026-07-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6eb93e706d1e9bba55d1dbd53441870bfdf55b6ef4b863ff6f13e9600e3d4ddf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,619
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,601
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,619 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 46c | 3,963$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,133.58 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 30c | 2,251$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575.29 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 69c | 1,329$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.53 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 26c | 1,100$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.99 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Yes | 49c | 1,058$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.63 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +6.5wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…f72abacked No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ed…9c3bbacked Yes | 14c | 725$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.6 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 71c | 702$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.42 | 218 | 40.4%88 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed No | 74c | 655.61$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.79 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 36c | 595.19$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.53 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 26c | 428.15$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.02 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed No | 68c | 372.9$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.57 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa5…4859backed No | 75c | 371.88$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x676e…28c5backed Yes | 31c | 306.45$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.45 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 17c | 298.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.16 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe247…edf1backed Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +116.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked No | 72c | 242.3$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.46 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed No | 72c | 242.3$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.45 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x580b…0522backed Yes | 29c | 235.31$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.07 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…d55ebacked No | 19c | 210.58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.22 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 146 | 30.1%44 W · 102 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 58c | 182.5$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.72 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked Yes | 42c | 169.5$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.31 | 69 | 73.9%51 W · 18 L | +19.0wins | +0.28per pick | 46cpaid | +87.8%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 29c | 126.21$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.84 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 31c | 110.23$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.91 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 39c | 101.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.97 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 28c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 70c | 99.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 18c | 95.76$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.47 | 192 | 50.5%97 W · 95 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 73c | 79.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.4 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…c0fabacked Yes | 30c | 77.18$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.02 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 25c | 73.92$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.44 | 179 | 41.9%75 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…3259backed Yes | 77c | 73.37$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Yes | 31c | 70.31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.69 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Yes | 31c | 67.53$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.53 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Yes | 27c | 67.17$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.03 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 31c | 55.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.15 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked Yes | 33c | 52.49$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 70c | 45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 370 | 43.8%162 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 79c | 44.9$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.59 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 63c | 43.45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Yes | 25c | 40.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.3 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8845…360ebacked Yes | 64c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Yes | 28c | 38.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.02 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed No | 34c | 38.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 34c | 31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac2…4fd8backed Yes | 39c | 29.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…1525backed No | 71c | 28.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 75c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 77 | 67.5%52 W · 25 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 67c | 17.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 71c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Yes | 72c | 16.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 71c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 108 | 63.9%69 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce7…a1f1backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FK Velež Mostar win on 2026-07-16?this page
- Will FC Milsami Orhei vs. FK Velež Mostar end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Milsami Orhei win on 2026-07-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.