Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: Ferencvárosi TC (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38086205d357384c8e15793ef8ce59debbcac56971025067d67437c360b366d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ferencvárosi TCof Ferencvárosi TC, FK Vojvodina Novi Sad
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,153
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,486
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,153 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked FK Vojvodina Novi Sad | 61c | 14,372$8,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,822.45 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Ferencvárosi TC | 78c | 8,395$6,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,829.28 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed FK Vojvodina Novi Sad | 47c | 5,053$2,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,395.41 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6f…1dfebacked Ferencvárosi TC | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,949.96 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Ferencvárosi TC | 38c | 3,600$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,232 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Ferencvárosi TC | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,859.97 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked FK Vojvodina Novi Sad | 21c | 2,475$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.75 | 384 | 53.1%204 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked FK Vojvodina Novi Sad | 20c | 2,273$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.63 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed FK Vojvodina Novi Sad | 44c | 2,176$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.44 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed FK Vojvodina Novi Sad | 60c | 1,924$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.12 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Ferencvárosi TC | 38c | 1,440$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.8 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Ferencvárosi TC | 38c | 1,260$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.2 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Ferencvárosi TC | 38c | 1,080$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.6 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Ferencvárosi TC | 54c | 893.91$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.85 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed FK Vojvodina Novi Sad | 13c | 618.17$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.36 | 90 | 21.1%19 W · 71 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 11cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Ferencvárosi TC | 35c | 607.13$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.99 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +7.7wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed FK Vojvodina Novi Sad | 69c | 585.21$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed FK Vojvodina Novi Sad | 20c | 545.97$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.54 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Ferencvárosi TC | 68c | 515.66$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.16 | 179 | 41.9%75 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Ferencvárosi TC | 38c | 360$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.2 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Ferencvárosi TC | 38c | 360$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.2 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Ferencvárosi TC | 38c | 360$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.2 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Ferencvárosi TC | 38c | 360$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.2 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Ferencvárosi TC | 38c | 352$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.24 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Ferencvárosi TC | 38c | 345$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.9 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7a…6c9abacked FK Vojvodina Novi Sad | 13c | 321.44$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.79 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Ferencvárosi TC | 40c | 291.99$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.19 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Ferencvárosi TC | 38c | 288$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.56 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Ferencvárosi TC | 38c | 288$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.56 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +9.3wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Ferencvárosi TC | 28c | 283.11$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.84 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed FK Vojvodina Novi Sad | 50c | 227.29$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.44 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Ferencvárosi TC | 40c | 213.05$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.59 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb8…067cbacked Ferencvárosi TC | 39c | 189$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.29 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Ferencvárosi TC | 38c | 180$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.6 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Ferencvárosi TC | 38c | 180$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.6 | 71 | 66.2%47 W · 24 L | +8.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Ferencvárosi TC | 33c | 163.69$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.67 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x425e…ecfabacked Ferencvárosi TC | 68c | 148$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.36 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Ferencvárosi TC | 38c | 144$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.28 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Ferencvárosi TC | 38c | 136$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.32 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed FK Vojvodina Novi Sad | 70c | 135.76$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.38 | 172 | 33.7%58 W · 114 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Ferencvárosi TC | 31c | 130.13$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.2 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed FK Vojvodina Novi Sad | 72c | 129.16$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked FK Vojvodina Novi Sad | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed FK Vojvodina Novi Sad | 21c | 95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Ferencvárosi TC | 39c | 89.49$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.98 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfddc…931abacked FK Vojvodina Novi Sad | 68c | 87.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.03 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed FK Vojvodina Novi Sad | 72c | 78.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.86 | 239 | 51.5%123 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed FK Vojvodina Novi Sad | 21c | 72.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -5.8wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa5…4f56backed FK Vojvodina Novi Sad | 61c | 70.97$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.29 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Ferencvárosi TC | 41c | 69.47$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.99 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Ferencvárosi TC | 38c | 54$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Ferencvárosi TC | 33c | 51.03$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…d3fdbacked Ferencvárosi TC | 34c | 47.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16f5…c651backed Ferencvárosi TC | 40c | 47.42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14d5…8ba8backed FK Vojvodina Novi Sad | 66c | 44.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6522…3a5abacked FK Vojvodina Novi Sad | 69c | 35.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.52 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed FK Vojvodina Novi Sad | 63c | 35.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed FK Vojvodina Novi Sad | 72c | 33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked FK Vojvodina Novi Sad | 56c | 32.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a86…0079backed Ferencvárosi TC | 67c | 29.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed FK Vojvodina Novi Sad | 45c | 29.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed FK Vojvodina Novi Sad | 68c | 22.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x308f…8607backed FK Vojvodina Novi Sad | 72c | 21.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 74cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed FK Vojvodina Novi Sad | 70c | 21.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed FK Vojvodina Novi Sad | 65c | 18.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed FK Vojvodina Novi Sad | 74c | 15.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4548…e4b5backed FK Vojvodina Novi Sad | 75c | 13.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Ferencvárosi TC (-2.5)this page
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. FK Vojvodina Novi Sad: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. FK Vojvodina Novi Sad: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. FK Vojvodina Novi Sad: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. FK Vojvodina Novi Sad: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. FK Vojvodina Novi Sad: FK Vojvodina Novi Sad O/U 0.5Under won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. FK Vojvodina Novi Sad: Ferencvárosi TC O/U 1.5Over won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. FK Vojvodina Novi Sad: O/U 0.5Over won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. FK Vojvodina Novi Sad: O/U 1.5Over won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. FK Vojvodina Novi Sad: O/U 2.5Over won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. FK Vojvodina Novi Sad: O/U 3.5Under won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. FK Vojvodina Novi Sad: O/U 4.5Under won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. FK Vojvodina Novi Sad: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Ferencvárosi TC (-1.5)Ferencvárosi TC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.