Europa Conference League · resolved market
Ferencvárosi TC vs. FK Vojvodina Novi Sad: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4599c8896b77b3e87c594449b23425d0b5fd884101cf703da5b2c4c248b7e38d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,954
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,133
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,954 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 55c | 436.93$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.44 | 172 | 33.7%58 W · 114 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 39c | 432.65$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.59 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 45c | 427.33$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.03 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 70c | 377.85$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.4 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed No | 55c | 312.62$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.71 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 75c | 210.3$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.33 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed No | 44c | 204.55$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.55 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebc…89c8backed Yes | 56c | 199.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb4…8898backed Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 76c | 111.57$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 46c | 94$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 275 | 45.8%126 W · 149 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 43c | 77.89$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 49c | 66.66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.66 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 23c | 65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b14…e3b2backed No | 46c | 53.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 57c | 41.52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.83 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3110…c3f5backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 42c | 35.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 42c | 31.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f2…131dbacked Yes | 58c | 31.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed No | 47c | 29.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.78 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed No | 42c | 23.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Yes | 56c | 22.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…082ebacked Yes | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50d6…f94abacked Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. FK Vojvodina Novi Sad: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. FK Vojvodina Novi Sad: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. FK Vojvodina Novi Sad: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. FK Vojvodina Novi Sad: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. FK Vojvodina Novi Sad: FK Vojvodina Novi Sad O/U 0.5Under won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. FK Vojvodina Novi Sad: Ferencvárosi TC O/U 1.5Over won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. FK Vojvodina Novi Sad: O/U 0.5Over won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. FK Vojvodina Novi Sad: O/U 1.5Over won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. FK Vojvodina Novi Sad: O/U 2.5Over won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. FK Vojvodina Novi Sad: O/U 3.5Under won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. FK Vojvodina Novi Sad: O/U 4.5Under won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. FK Vojvodina Novi Sad: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Ferencvárosi TC (-1.5)Ferencvárosi TC won
- Spread: Ferencvárosi TC (-2.5)Ferencvárosi TC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.