Europa Conference League · resolved market
Ferencvárosi TC vs. FK Vojvodina Novi Sad: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2880e55a5038bcf87a3f6cad60b4a08065585e2ff3146f351ec01027c6256265
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,507
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,503
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,507 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 31c | 3,373$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.38 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 74c | 2,717$2,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.93 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 38c | 1,855$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.56 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 24c | 1,300$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.81 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 11c | 1,214$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.58 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 73c | 1,051$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.96 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 66c | 794.19$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.49 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 63c | 637.92$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.03 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3e…0b87backed Over | 64c | 622.68$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.68 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 62c | 604$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.64 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x961c…9d72backed Over | 66c | 569.61$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.54 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 37c | 551.74$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.16 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over | 58c | 510$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.43 | 156 | 28.2%44 W · 112 L | -15.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Under | 39c | 456$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.84 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 65c | 354$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 172 | 33.7%58 W · 114 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 35c | 317.01$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.12 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7391…5375backed Over | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x002f…92f3backed Over | 64c | 234.09$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.27 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 64c | 208$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.88 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 43c | 170.89$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.77 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 64c | 139.05$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.06 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 147 | 67.3%99 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 65c | 115.4$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.22 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Over | 63c | 107.42$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +8.7wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Under | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed Under | 21c | 95.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 69c | 78.2$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 116 | 74.1%86 W · 30 L | +18.9wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc464…5139backed Over | 66c | 75.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 65c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.45 | 206 | 60.2%124 W · 82 L | -15.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 62c | 69.96$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 34c | 65.39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 37c | 61.76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x194e…02bbbacked Under | 35c | 60.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 35c | 60.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Under | 33c | 46.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 200 | 50%100 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b92…a6e3backed Under | 43c | 45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89c3…322bbacked Over | 67c | 43.84$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 28c | 42.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 26c | 42.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 36c | 39.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 239 | 51.5%123 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 65c | 36.87$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 37c | 35.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 275 | 45.8%126 W · 149 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Over | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3110…c3f5backed Over | 65c | 30.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Over | 64c | 24.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc2…56a9backed Over | 63c | 18.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 75c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 73c | 16.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +17.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadcb…a546backed Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. FK Vojvodina Novi Sad: O/U 2.5this page
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. FK Vojvodina Novi Sad: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. FK Vojvodina Novi Sad: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. FK Vojvodina Novi Sad: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. FK Vojvodina Novi Sad: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. FK Vojvodina Novi Sad: FK Vojvodina Novi Sad O/U 0.5Under won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. FK Vojvodina Novi Sad: Ferencvárosi TC O/U 1.5Over won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. FK Vojvodina Novi Sad: O/U 0.5Over won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. FK Vojvodina Novi Sad: O/U 1.5Over won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. FK Vojvodina Novi Sad: O/U 3.5Under won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. FK Vojvodina Novi Sad: O/U 4.5Under won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. FK Vojvodina Novi Sad: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Ferencvárosi TC (-1.5)Ferencvárosi TC won
- Spread: Ferencvárosi TC (-2.5)Ferencvárosi TC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.