Europa Conference League · resolved market
Europa FC vs. KF Shkëndija 79: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97d6775a464a5739de3b4e4bd205ad1d8a2d188465ca425d727fec9115372e5f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,449
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,631
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,449 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 47c | 12,712$5,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,976.38 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Over | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Over | 53c | 1,200$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 54c | 1,111$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.94 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Over | 53c | 1,104$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.88 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Over | 53c | 1,050$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.5 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Over | 53c | 900$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 47c | 578.43$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.38 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 46c | 489.68$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.55 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 56c | 459.94$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.2 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Over | 53c | 456$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.32 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 53c | 416.76$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.41 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 53c | 344.74$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.03 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Over | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Over | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Over | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Over | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Over | 53c | 294$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.18 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Over | 53c | 288$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.36 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 54c | 264.25$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.88 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 51c | 259.95$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.57 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Over | 53c | 240$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.8 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Over | 53c | 240$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.8 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +9.3wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 43c | 177.43$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.29 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over | 48c | 173.05$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.56 | 156 | 28.2%44 W · 112 L | -15.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb8…067cbacked Over | 54c | 157.98$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.67 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Over | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Over | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Over | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 71 | 66.2%47 W · 24 L | +8.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 57c | 145$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.35 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 45c | 128.33$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.85 | 384 | 53.1%204 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Over | 53c | 120$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Over | 53c | 114$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.58 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Under | 44c | 99.44$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.44 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 46c | 96$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.16 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 54c | 96$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.16 | 370 | 46.5%172 W · 198 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 43c | 67.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.89 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 54c | 67.54$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.85 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Over | 57c | 48.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 370 | 43.8%162 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Over | 56c | 47.74$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.01 | 138 | 39.1%54 W · 84 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc9a…1757backed Over | 76c | 46.22$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over | 53c | 45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…01febacked Over | 54c | 44.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.63 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3637…21a4backed Over | 54c | 34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 54c | 29.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 46c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 52c | 28.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 266 | 47.4%126 W · 140 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 45c | 25.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked Over | 53c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Over | 55c | 18.02$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Europa FC vs. KF Shkëndija 79: O/U 2.5this page
- Europa FC vs. KF Shkëndija 79: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Europa FC vs. KF Shkëndija 79: KF Shkëndija 79 O/U 1.5Over won
- Europa FC vs. KF Shkëndija 79: O/U 1.5Over won
- Europa FC vs. KF Shkëndija 79: O/U 3.5Over won
- Europa FC vs. KF Shkëndija 79: O/U 4.5Over won
- Europa FC vs. KF Shkëndija 79: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Europa FC (-1.5)KF Shkëndija 79 won
- Spread: Europa FC (-2.5)KF Shkëndija 79 won
- Spread: KF Shkëndija 79 (-1.5)KF Shkëndija 79 won
- Spread: KF Shkëndija 79 (-2.5)KF Shkëndija 79 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.