Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: KF Shkëndija 79 (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe336b158c18896f2aaa967c6192dca96c9214f9aa431a37f2a1380a54541d5b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KF Shkëndija 79of KF Shkëndija 79, Europa FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,607
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,465
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,607 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Europa FC | 66c | 18,074$11,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,855.89 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked KF Shkëndija 79 | 35c | 3,732$1,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,425.51 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed KF Shkëndija 79 | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed KF Shkëndija 79 | 39c | 2,356$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446.45 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Europa FC | 67c | 1,502$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.45 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed KF Shkëndija 79 | 34c | 1,200$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed KF Shkëndija 79 | 35c | 1,200$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5d…7501backed KF Shkëndija 79 | 40c | 1,141$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed KF Shkëndija 79 | 34c | 1,104$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.64 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed KF Shkëndija 79 | 34c | 1,050$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Europa FC | 63c | 838.33$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.06 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Europa FC | 61c | 733$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.84 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked KF Shkëndija 79 | 36c | 727.68$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.9 | 384 | 53.1%204 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f7…1b34backed KF Shkëndija 79 | 33c | 722.03$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.17 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 39cpaid | +143.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed KF Shkëndija 79 | 34c | 669.89$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.45 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed KF Shkëndija 79 | 39c | 632.15$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.21 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked KF Shkëndija 79 | 38c | 600$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed KF Shkëndija 79 | 34c | 456$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.96 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Europa FC | 66c | 417.47$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.53 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed KF Shkëndija 79 | 48c | 303.02$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.57 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Europa FC | 61c | 300$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.5 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed KF Shkëndija 79 | 34c | 300$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed KF Shkëndija 79 | 39c | 256.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.57 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Europa FC | 66c | 252.74$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.11 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked KF Shkëndija 79 | 34c | 240$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.4 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed KF Shkëndija 79 | 34c | 240$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.4 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed KF Shkëndija 79 | 34c | 240$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.4 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +9.3wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked KF Shkëndija 79 | 38c | 202.5$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.89 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked KF Shkëndija 79 | 34c | 183$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.78 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked KF Shkëndija 79 | 35c | 180$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked KF Shkëndija 79 | 35c | 180$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked KF Shkëndija 79 | 35c | 180$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Europa FC | 54c | 163.24$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb8…067cbacked KF Shkëndija 79 | 35c | 158$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.7 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed KF Shkëndija 79 | 34c | 150$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed KF Shkëndija 79 | 34c | 150$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked KF Shkëndija 79 | 34c | 149.98$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.99 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed KF Shkëndija 79 | 34c | 148.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.99 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Europa FC | 64c | 138$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.32 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Europa FC | 63c | 133.72$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.38 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked KF Shkëndija 79 | 34c | 129.51$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.47 | 71 | 66.2%47 W · 24 L | +8.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed KF Shkëndija 79 | 36c | 127.75$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.76 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked KF Shkëndija 79 | 34c | 120$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Europa FC | 59c | 117.4$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.27 | 370 | 46.5%172 W · 198 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed KF Shkëndija 79 | 34c | 115$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.33 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Europa FC | 66c | 108$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.28 | 218 | 40.4%88 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked Europa FC | 60c | 99.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.01 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +5.5wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed KF Shkëndija 79 | 47c | 98.8$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.54 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…01febacked KF Shkëndija 79 | 36c | 85.71$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.85 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53e1…f420backed KF Shkëndija 79 | 26c | 80$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.2 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +4.9wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed KF Shkëndija 79 | 40c | 50.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.26 | 370 | 43.8%162 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed KF Shkëndija 79 | 36c | 47.9$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.66 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed KF Shkëndija 79 | 34c | 45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Europa FC | 64c | 31.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Europa FC | 53c | 29.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed KF Shkëndija 79 | 35c | 29.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Europa FC | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked KF Shkëndija 79 | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: KF Shkëndija 79 (-1.5)this page
- Europa FC vs. KF Shkëndija 79: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Europa FC vs. KF Shkëndija 79: KF Shkëndija 79 O/U 1.5Over won
- Europa FC vs. KF Shkëndija 79: O/U 1.5Over won
- Europa FC vs. KF Shkëndija 79: O/U 2.5Over won
- Europa FC vs. KF Shkëndija 79: O/U 3.5Over won
- Europa FC vs. KF Shkëndija 79: O/U 4.5Over won
- Europa FC vs. KF Shkëndija 79: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Europa FC (-1.5)KF Shkëndija 79 won
- Spread: Europa FC (-2.5)KF Shkëndija 79 won
- Spread: KF Shkëndija 79 (-2.5)KF Shkëndija 79 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.