TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Spread: Seattle Sounders FC (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Portland Timbersof Seattle Sounders FC, Portland Timbers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$101,642
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$105,581

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,642 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf5f9…87b0backed Portland Timbers58c20,250$11,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,509.799649%47 W · 49 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ba8…cdb3backed Portland Timbers59c18,786$11,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,782.361662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+36.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x999d…a1e1backed Seattle Sounders FC43c15,735$6,729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,728.63425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-46.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04d5…66d8backed Portland Timbers57c10,000$5,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,3004261.9%26 W · 16 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+22.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Seattle Sounders FC11c8,704$941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$941.1199340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Seattle Sounders FC10c4,678$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.741,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Seattle Sounders FC42c3,783$1,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,578.771,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Seattle Sounders FC42c3,600$1,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,51217258.1%100 W · 72 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Seattle Sounders FC40c3,533$1,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,414.8333346.8%156 W · 177 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Seattle Sounders FC42c3,112$1,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,302.826250%31 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f9c…df69backed Seattle Sounders FC10c3,004$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001040%4 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c5…46c3backed Seattle Sounders FC42c2,839$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2003528.6%10 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x911b…344fbacked Seattle Sounders FC40c1,885$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7541225%3 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-50.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Portland Timbers62c1,848$1,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.431,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Portland Timbers57c1,726$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.3821547.9%103 W · 112 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Portland Timbers76c1,580$1,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.152639.5%208 W · 318 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Seattle Sounders FC42c1,440$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.814359.4%85 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Seattle Sounders FC42c1,429$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Seattle Sounders FC7c1,421$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.45250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Portland Timbers58c1,300$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.992540%10 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Seattle Sounders FC40c1,290$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5133234.4%11 W · 21 L-4.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-24.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Seattle Sounders FC42c1,260$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.212661.1%77 W · 49 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbd73…4da1backed Seattle Sounders FC23c1,243$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.461915.8%3 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick16cpaid-47.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Seattle Sounders FC42c1,080$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.615858.2%92 W · 66 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Seattle Sounders FC42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4204751.1%24 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Portland Timbers58c999.98$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.995464.8%35 W · 19 L+7.6wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+27.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Seattle Sounders FC42c728.16$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.8353046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cec…d241backed Seattle Sounders FC42c714.29$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-31.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Seattle Sounders FC42c547$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.7411055.5%61 W · 49 L-0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Seattle Sounders FC41c369.68$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.5710848.1%52 W · 56 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Seattle Sounders FC42c360$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.214459.7%86 W · 58 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Seattle Sounders FC42c360$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.216955.6%94 W · 75 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Seattle Sounders FC42c360$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.216960.9%103 W · 66 L+11.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Seattle Sounders FC42c360$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.214257.7%82 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6787…ff88backed Seattle Sounders FC42c353.56$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.651330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-43.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Seattle Sounders FC42c352$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.8412162%75 W · 46 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Seattle Sounders FC42c348$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.011,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Seattle Sounders FC42c345$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.911759%69 W · 48 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Portland Timbers73c332$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.191,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Seattle Sounders FC42c288$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.9615060%90 W · 60 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Seattle Sounders FC42c288$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.9613158.8%77 W · 54 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Seattle Sounders FC42c280$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.6560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+89.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Seattle Sounders FC42c280$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.6475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+137.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Seattle Sounders FC42c280$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.6475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+137.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Seattle Sounders FC41c256$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.9627047%127 W · 143 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Seattle Sounders FC42c239.84$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.5372850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Portland Timbers60c213.1$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.247949.4%39 W · 40 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x75b0…7db2backed Portland Timbers60c212.03$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.81475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Seattle Sounders FC21c212$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.521,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Seattle Sounders FC42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.26per pick56cpaid+49%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Seattle Sounders FC42c194.75$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.8270249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb8…067cbacked Seattle Sounders FC42c189$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.38250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Seattle Sounders FC42c180$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.615259.9%91 W · 61 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Seattle Sounders FC42c180$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.613461.2%82 W · 52 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Seattle Sounders FC42c180$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.613560.7%82 W · 53 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6717…d6ebbacked Portland Timbers60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.67560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Seattle Sounders FC41c144$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.0414660.3%88 W · 58 L+8.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c60…01febacked Seattle Sounders FC41c142.82$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.561637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-30.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Seattle Sounders FC41c140$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.411144.1%49 W · 62 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Seattle Sounders FC41c138$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.5852923.8%126 W · 403 L-25.8wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Seattle Sounders FC41c138$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.584528.9%13 W · 32 L-6.5wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-31.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Seattle Sounders FC42c136$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.1214459.7%86 W · 58 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Portland Timbers55c128$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.680249.8%399 W · 403 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Seattle Sounders FC40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Seattle Sounders FC41c120$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4920449%100 W · 104 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Seattle Sounders FC41c119.68$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6773438.1%280 W · 454 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Seattle Sounders FC43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-42.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Seattle Sounders FC41c104$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0626150.2%131 W · 130 L-13.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3d3b…28bdbacked Portland Timbers61c101.64$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.646250%31 W · 31 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Seattle Sounders FC41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4117751.4%91 W · 86 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25a4…69f6backed Seattle Sounders FC40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a64…683ebacked Seattle Sounders FC40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b20…2f94backed Seattle Sounders FC42c95.48$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.22per pick31cpaid-74.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked Seattle Sounders FC42c86$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.129058.9%53 W · 37 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Seattle Sounders FC41c73.54$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.43154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cae…fdc1backed Portland Timbers61c65.57$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc89b…d649backed Seattle Sounders FC33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Seattle Sounders FC36c59.68$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5382044.5%365 W · 455 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Seattle Sounders FC42c54$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6813557.8%78 W · 57 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Portland Timbers60c50.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.263,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3146…d153backed Portland Timbers59c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.52152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4a6…c03bbacked Seattle Sounders FC40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick57cpaid-60.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6e69…30a0backed Seattle Sounders FC40c41$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-25.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed Seattle Sounders FC42c40.29$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9211650.9%59 W · 57 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8369…1ec0backed Seattle Sounders FC41c35.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.56425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbdd…bd60backed Portland Timbers61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.792454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Seattle Sounders FC42c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.65738.6%22 W · 35 L-7.3wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-25.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcde0…d27cbacked Seattle Sounders FC42c27.21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.43333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Portland Timbers58c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.59346.2%43 W · 50 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7376…7767backed Seattle Sounders FC40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f2…131dbacked Portland Timbers59c23.68$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.711172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+31.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7dae…7199backed Portland Timbers58c18.06$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.592934.5%10 W · 19 L-3.7wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-33.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Portland Timbers68c17.11$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.4796756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.