TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Seattle Sounders FC vs. Portland Timbers: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$28,071
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$30,634

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,071 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes62c3,508$2,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,333.0833346.8%156 W · 177 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No46c1,707$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.141,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No38c1,667$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.6572850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No38c1,571$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.8770249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes57c1,508$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.561,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked No47c1,330$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.9544447.3%210 W · 234 L-1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Yes59c1,305$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.0819044.7%85 W · 105 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed No46c1,201$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.7335247.7%168 W · 184 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked No46c1,050$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.7631446.5%146 W · 168 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed No17c1,013$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.341747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid+20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No38c692.8$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.2621547.9%103 W · 112 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes62c600$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.3926450%132 W · 132 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed No44c597$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.652035%7 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde19…e90dbacked Yes54c517$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.821573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.8wins+0.25per pick48cpaid+81.1%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes50c490.24$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.0136247.2%171 W · 191 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No35c465.72$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.243,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No18c418.07$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.4919847.5%94 W · 104 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bad…1e9ebacked Yes59c300$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1231428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-50.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes67c296.31$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.1123953.6%128 W · 111 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No41c274.66$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.8571443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8255…4261backed No45c271.53$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.06250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed No38c259.99$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.832848.8%160 W · 168 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed No57c257.81$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.2623350.6%118 W · 115 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x839f…fb43backed No44c250$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes44c227.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.573943.6%17 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes57c209.38$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.051,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Yes62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.26per pick56cpaid+49%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x153c…bf6abacked Yes45c179.99$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Yes64c170.94$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.4418774.3%139 W · 48 L+33.5wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+39.4%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No38c166.24$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.921,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbe2…004dbacked No15c160$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.430%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.739940.4%40 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc468…530fbacked Yes60c129$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.62100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed No39c123.57$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1939435.8%141 W · 253 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No37c112.81$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.7427047%127 W · 143 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Yes44c109$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.175759.6%34 W · 23 L+5.3wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Yes80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2013844.9%62 W · 76 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x90e3…6298backed Yes60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No64c99.98$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.9787154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes55c98.09$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.9525652.3%134 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1985…51abbacked Yes58c93$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.732969%20 W · 9 L+5.3wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+26.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4d98…1e48backed Yes62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x186a…559dbacked Yes62c80.24$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.242955.2%16 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d80…5f72backed Yes62c80.22$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.22366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes70c80.03$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.1236646.7%171 W · 195 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes62c78.49$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6273438.1%280 W · 454 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bff…c8a8backed Yes42c68$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.444040%16 W · 24 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77f3…f487backed No57c67$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-62.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed Yes62c64.59$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5411650.9%59 W · 57 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked No36c57.29$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.914748.9%23 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No28c55.41$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5168150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2064…0ab1backed No65c53.85$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Yes46c50.01$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.812951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes62c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1920449%100 W · 104 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed Yes47c49.94$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-44.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Yes75c46.81$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7710957.8%63 W · 46 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x26f1…6d2fbacked Yes48c46$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.061154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x36cf…d3aebacked Yes46c45.65$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.653336.4%12 W · 21 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed No62c44$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2814560.7%88 W · 57 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18c…0350backed Yes44c43.18$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.18757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick34cpaid+59.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9786…1e9abacked Yes47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.552931%9 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-26.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b44…6e8dbacked No47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201050%5 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Yes51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.622269.4%154 W · 68 L+31.4wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+33.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked No30c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127045.7%32 W · 38 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe331…0163backed Yes52c38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.162272.7%16 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+23.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Yes62c37.83$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.33154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes63c37.8$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1296756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked No43c35.16$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0182044.5%365 W · 455 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x860d…3c72backed Yes62c34$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.922100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick66cpaid+53.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.791346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbbdd…bd60backed Yes62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.262454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes52c31$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7719172.3%138 W · 53 L+36.8wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+41.7%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xf9ae…61b5backed Yes69c29$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed Yes58c28.94$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.242166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+21.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xad7f…18cdbacked No46c28$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.882356.5%13 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe29c…a31dbacked Yes73c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.756149.2%30 W · 31 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x352b…abd8backed No45c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.251533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-35.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7376…7767backed Yes40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Yes60c16.67$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.674163.4%26 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Yes74c16.43$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.279253.3%49 W · 43 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+22.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.