Mls · resolved market
Seattle Sounders FC vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6822610e9b2851f8e4745b1e849354ef0093beedd3b1bc633623eb5e1bab8cc7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $122,997
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $131,430
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,997 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb340…1ad1backed Under | 72c | 11,087$7,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,995.39 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.34per pick | 72cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 28c | 9,318$2,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,750.54 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 65c | 8,109$5,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,232.84 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Under | 44c | 7,192$3,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,164.51 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 66c | 6,079$3,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,093.05 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed Under | 35c | 4,646$1,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,618.44 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 32c | 3,366$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.13 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Under | 31c | 3,036$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.74 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 59c | 2,981$1,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.94 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Under | 19c | 1,910$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.93 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 67c | 1,851$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.15 | 304 | 44.1%134 W · 170 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Over | 27c | 1,503$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.39 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a5…38d8backed Under | 72c | 1,389$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…efffbacked Over | 43c | 1,245$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.7 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 6c | 1,176$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.68 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9c…df69backed Over | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.11 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x002f…92f3backed Under | 73c | 1,096$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.5wins | -0.51per pick | 71cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Under | 78c | 1,092$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.78 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 36c | 1,046$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.88 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 62c | 1,029$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.1 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 20c | 1,028$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.67 | 270 | 58.9%159 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 26c | 1,012$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.84 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 64c | 967.11$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.06 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 64c | 917.72$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.06 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 64c | 765.06$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.44 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd34…020ebacked Under | 2c | 736.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Under | 37c | 700$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 27c | 630.56$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.05 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 62c | 629.8$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.57 | 220 | 42.7%94 W · 126 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…1ef5backed Under | 33c | 583.32$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.36 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 50c | 571.42$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.55 | 191 | 72.3%138 W · 53 L | +36.8wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Over | 71c | 565.52$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.52 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe2…004dbacked Under | 5c | 559.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 74c | 525$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.5 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a8f…e5f5backed Under | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…e90dbacked Over | 57c | 486.62$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.25 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 47c | 428.84$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.16 | 256 | 52.3%134 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Over | 27c | 400$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x624d…ff0abacked Over | 63c | 396.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6102…1913backed Under | 33c | 348.08$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.83 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 73c | 337.3$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.23 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Over | 21c | 309.95$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.86 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 29c | 277.82$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.73 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Over | 67c | 277.25$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.25 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 53c | 243.39$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.29 | 222 | 69.4%154 W · 68 L | +31.4wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 44c | 231.75$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.66 | 196 | 41.3%81 W · 115 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 56c | 220.98$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.75 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 59c | 219.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.79 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf0…cad2backed Under | 37c | 214.29$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 35c | 209.93$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.81 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 59c | 198.6$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.87 | 90 | 70%63 W · 27 L | +11.7wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +24%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…2500backed Under | 25c | 196.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 18c | 195.82$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.75 | 187 | 74.3%139 W · 48 L | +33.5wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe331…0163backed Over | 63c | 172.3$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.21 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 53c | 157.09$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.26 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 52c | 155.58$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.22 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e73…ac97backed Over | 73c | 153.32$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 68c | 140$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 28c | 140$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Under | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…bf2ebacked Over | 60c | 133.33$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Under | 76c | 130$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -3.7wins | -0.31per pick | 73cpaid | -42%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 23c | 126.3$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.38 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93f1…be41backed Under | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 73c | 120$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a05…0dc0backed Under | 43c | 107.24$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.32 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bf…b8e1backed Under | 25c | 100.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.32 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -66%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked Over | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a1…30d1backed Over | 19c | 87.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.08 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Over | 21c | 85.71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.71 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Over | 56c | 73.74$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.54 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6aa…178ebacked Under | 72c | 70.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…bc0dbacked Over | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 27c | 70$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.8 | 204 | 49%100 W · 104 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Over | 58c | 67.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 28c | 65.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.51 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0240…78f2backed Under | 43c | 62.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 56c | 60.28$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 228 | 41.7%95 W · 133 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4b…802bbacked Under | 68c | 58.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.92 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…d7a1backed Under | 26c | 57.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 66c | 55.4$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.84 | 205 | 54.6%112 W · 93 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 37c | 53.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Under | 30c | 53.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -12.3wins | -0.41per pick | 44cpaid | -94.4%equal weight | 25-0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 39c | 52.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 202 | 52%105 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 28c | 49.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.65 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xece6…b10cbacked Over | 53c | 47.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.31 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cba…351cbacked Under | 42c | 47.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 61c | 45.46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 28c | 42.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.57 | 92 | 53.3%49 W · 43 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 53c | 41.9$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.81 | 294 | 60.5%178 W · 116 L | +36.5wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf202…9ea8backed Under | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 58c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9291…63d0backed Over | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7376…7767backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Under | 49c | 35.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Over | 63c | 33.29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 46c | 29.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 66c | 28.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 311 | 58.5%182 W · 129 L | +27.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a86…0079backed Under | 47c | 24.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 4.5this page
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Portland Timbers: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Portland Timbers: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Portland Timbers: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Portland Timbers: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 0.5Over won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 1.5Over won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 2.5Over won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 3.5Over won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Portland Timbers: Portland Timbers 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Portland Timbers: Portland Timbers O/U 1.5Over won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Portland Timbers: Portland Timbers O/U 2.5Over won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Portland Timbers: Seattle Sounders FC 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Portland Timbers: Seattle Sounders FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Portland Timbers: Seattle Sounders FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Portland Timbers: Seattle Sounders FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Portland Timbers (-1.5)Portland Timbers won
- Spread: Portland Timbers (-2.5)Portland Timbers won
- Spread: Seattle Sounders FC (-1.5)Portland Timbers won
- Spread: Seattle Sounders FC (-2.5)Portland Timbers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.