Mls · resolved market

Seattle Sounders FC vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22d89d6f4ede78125321bc46a8ddf24fd7a3968dfd38052b60d43e79a92f0ffc

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 17, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $67,321
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $70,696

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,321 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Mls
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x26b4…b8a9backed Over	68c	13,071$8,888 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,182.59	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.6wins	-0.13per pick	55cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under	35c	9,862$3,460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,460.21	989	45.4%449 W · 540 L	-23.9wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	33c	8,396$2,788 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,788.35	3,012	43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L	-29.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over	63c	8,296$5,206 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,090.79	993	40.1%398 W · 595 L	+11.8wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3233…a4ddbacked Over	69c	7,300$5,037 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,262.98	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.31per pick	69cpaid	+44.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	29c	4,825$1,417 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,416.71	1,444	36.8%532 W · 912 L	-12.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f9c…df69backed Over	55c	2,182$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$981.82	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over	74c	2,027$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$527.03	25	56%14 W · 11 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	59cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	32c	2,000$649 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$649.24	702	49.7%349 W · 353 L	-7.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over	67c	1,997$1,338 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$658.87	328	48.8%160 W · 168 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Under	32c	1,887$604 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$603.8	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	+1.4wins	+0.08per pick	57cpaid	+115.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	32c	1,579$501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$501.34	728	50.7%369 W · 359 L	-4.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Under	45c	1,164$527 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$527	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+1.3wins	+0.14per pick	42cpaid	+61.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over	77c	1,126$867 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$258.98	923	46.6%430 W · 493 L	-9.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	30c	1,123$337 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$336.81	1,880	36.6%688 W · 1,192 L	-7.3wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over	67c	1,088$729 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$359.04	333	46.8%156 W · 177 L	-14.0wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	32c	1,023$327 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$327.34	681	50.8%346 W · 335 L	+12.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under	31c	836.21$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.22	215	47.9%103 W · 112 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under	33c	816.64$269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$268.89	714	43.7%312 W · 402 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Over	58c	595.5$343 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$252.7	187	74.3%139 W · 48 L	+33.5wins	+0.18per pick	56cpaid	+39.4%equal weight	68+0.16 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over	68c	551$375 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$176.32	685	50.5%346 W · 339 L	+10.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over	68c	499.99$340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160	54	64.8%35 W · 19 L	+7.6wins	+0.14per pick	51cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under	32c	468$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.76	200	43%86 W · 114 L	+7.3wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under	3c	444.8$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.49	1,009	46.2%466 W · 543 L	+11.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e92…5280backed Under	35c	422.86$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148	23	17.4%4 W · 19 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	+15%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd73…4da1backed Under	34c	415.09$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.13	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-47.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Over	68c	400$272 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128	47	48.9%23 W · 24 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x54c4…caaebacked Over	63c	399.98$252 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147.99	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.11per pick	56cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under	42c	367.68$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.2	526	39.5%208 W · 318 L	-11.9wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbac…38d0backed Over	59c	355.29$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.67	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.33per pick	67cpaid	+51.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Under	4c	326.67$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.33	220	42.7%94 W · 126 L	-5.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e97…8908backed Under	33c	303.03$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-43%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under	42c	300$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	-2.6wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over	68c	298.36$203 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.48	915	53%485 W · 430 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under	31c	289.57$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.77	429	47.1%202 W · 227 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under	31c	286$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.2	352	47.7%168 W · 184 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	68c	280.1$190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.63	734	38.1%280 W · 454 L	-7.5wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03c9…d8c1backed Over	65c	268$175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.92	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	+2.6wins	+0.09per pick	42cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6102…1913backed Over	68c	251.18$171 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.45	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+23.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bad…1e9ebacked Over	60c	250$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-2.9wins	-0.21per pick	49cpaid	-50.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under	32c	241.1$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.15	530	46.4%246 W · 284 L	-15.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under	30c	217.57$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.4	196	41.3%81 W · 115 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Under	25c	214.32$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.53	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.17per pick	58cpaid	+10%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked Under	38c	214.01$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.21	76	59.2%45 W · 31 L	+4.6wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x276d…ea8fbacked Under	48c	208.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+1.2wins	+0.13per pick	65cpaid	+20.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x425e…ecfabacked Over	59c	200.47$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.47	30	50%15 W · 15 L	+3.3wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+34.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Over	69c	200$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62	11	81.8%9 W · 2 L	+2.8wins	+0.26per pick	56cpaid	+49%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over	67c	199.99$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65	204	49%100 W · 104 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under	33c	187.61$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.15	1,301	51.2%666 W · 635 L	-19.6wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over	64c	183.4$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.65	294	60.5%178 W · 116 L	+36.5wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+34.2%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over	79c	182.37$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.72	362	47.2%171 W · 191 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over	65c	174.09$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.39	311	58.5%182 W · 129 L	+27.0wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+23.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xde19…e90dbacked Over	53c	154$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.38	15	73.3%11 W · 4 L	+3.8wins	+0.25per pick	48cpaid	+81.1%equal weight	61+0.09 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over	66c	150$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51	138	44.9%62 W · 76 L	-6.5wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Under	37c	140.54$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	81	44.4%36 W · 45 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac25…147abacked Under	36c	138.89$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	42	50%21 W · 21 L	-3.3wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Under	37c	137.84$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	66	51.5%34 W · 32 L	+3.5wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under	33c	137.64$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.92	351	49.6%174 W · 177 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over	74c	119.76$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.73	128	39.8%51 W · 77 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under	22c	118.52$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.18	802	49.8%399 W · 403 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Under	37c	116.22$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	53	43.4%23 W · 30 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Over	62c	115.48$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.88	46	39.1%18 W · 28 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Under	30c	113.76$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.76	54	48.1%26 W · 28 L	-3.5wins	-0.06per pick	55cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x27ca…e628backed Under	42c	111$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.62	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over	65c	107.43$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.63	309	57%176 W · 133 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over	68c	105.66$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.24	394	35.8%141 W · 253 L	-6.0wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under	41c	105$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.05	871	54.6%476 W · 395 L	+34.2wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0cee…4191backed Under	26c	100$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Over	71c	96.12$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.88	233	50.6%118 W · 115 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over	60c	90$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.45	102	49%50 W · 52 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	65c	88.18$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.64	1,262	45.2%571 W · 691 L	-28.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Over	58c	86.21$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.21	79	55.7%44 W · 35 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over	58c	82$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.44	270	58.9%159 W · 111 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Over	63c	80$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.6	33	36.4%12 W · 21 L	-3.3wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under	38c	79.22$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.24	258	51.2%132 W · 126 L	+16.2wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Under	30c	77.35$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.2	529	23.8%126 W · 403 L	-25.8wins	-0.05per pick	29cpaid	-18%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under	32c	75.97$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.33	118	48.3%57 W · 61 L	+3.6wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x186a…559dbacked Over	69c	72.46$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.46	29	55.2%16 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over	60c	72.43$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.84	967	56.8%549 W · 418 L	+73.1wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Over	69c	69.19$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.49	31	54.8%17 W · 14 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+18.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under	32c	65.85$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.87	84	54.8%46 W · 38 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under	41c	65$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.54	366	46.7%171 W · 195 L	-7.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under	35c	62.66$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.82	202	52%105 W · 97 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	38c	61.61$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.55	820	44.5%365 W · 455 L	-16.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over	64c	54.6$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.66	205	54.6%112 W · 93 L	+17.1wins	+0.08per pick	46cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Under	38c	54.12$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.62	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-1.5wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	-27%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under	38c	52.34$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.89	239	53.6%128 W · 111 L	+14.7wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked Under	38c	52.11$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.8	35	48.6%17 W · 18 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfaf6…8b41backed Under	42c	50$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Under	32c	50$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	132	59.1%78 W · 54 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed Over	70c	50$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15	20	80%16 W · 4 L	+1.1wins	+0.05per pick	75cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under	43c	44.18$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	120	58.3%70 W · 50 L	+6.7wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e4b…0a04backed Under	49c	43$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.07	28	50%14 W · 14 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed Over	69c	42.63$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.22	116	50.9%59 W · 57 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a5a…1179backed Over	59c	42.37$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.37	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-2.1wins	-0.42per pick	62cpaid	-66.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over	59c	42.02$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.23	82	41.5%34 W · 48 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked Under	32c	40$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.67	47	48.9%23 W · 24 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed Under	32c	39.9$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.97	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.4wins	-0.20per pick	49cpaid	-44.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under	50c	37$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.53	314	46.5%146 W · 168 L	-10.7wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbce…91b2backed Over	64c	35$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.75	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+1.2wins	+0.31per pick	69cpaid	+45.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Seattle Sounders FC vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 2.5this page
Seattle Sounders FC vs. Portland Timbers: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Seattle Sounders FC vs. Portland Timbers: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Seattle Sounders FC vs. Portland Timbers: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Seattle Sounders FC vs. Portland Timbers: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Seattle Sounders FC vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 0.5Over won
Seattle Sounders FC vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 1.5Over won
Seattle Sounders FC vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 3.5Over won
Seattle Sounders FC vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 4.5Over won
Seattle Sounders FC vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 5.5Over won
Seattle Sounders FC vs. Portland Timbers: Portland Timbers 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Seattle Sounders FC vs. Portland Timbers: Portland Timbers O/U 1.5Over won
Seattle Sounders FC vs. Portland Timbers: Portland Timbers O/U 2.5Over won
Seattle Sounders FC vs. Portland Timbers: Seattle Sounders FC 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Seattle Sounders FC vs. Portland Timbers: Seattle Sounders FC O/U 0.5Over won
Seattle Sounders FC vs. Portland Timbers: Seattle Sounders FC O/U 1.5Under won
Seattle Sounders FC vs. Portland Timbers: Seattle Sounders FC O/U 2.5Under won
Spread: Portland Timbers (-1.5)Portland Timbers won
Spread: Portland Timbers (-2.5)Portland Timbers won
Spread: Seattle Sounders FC (-1.5)Portland Timbers won
Spread: Seattle Sounders FC (-2.5)Portland Timbers won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Seattle Sounders FC vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event