TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Seattle Sounders FC vs. Portland Timbers: Seattle Sounders FC O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,364
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,455

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,364 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under64c1,250$804 inWon+$446.8871443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6f9c…df69backed Over39c946.08$369 inLost-$368.971040%4 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked Over33c279.75$92 inLost-$92.397045.7%32 W · 38 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8649…ba57backed Over25c214.71$55 inLost-$54.71837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under65c206.34$133 inWon+$72.991,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Over26c187$49 inLost-$49.0919847.5%94 W · 104 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over26c153.13$40 inLost-$4036247.2%171 W · 191 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under68c139.26$95 inWon+$44.562740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-30.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under76c112.92$86 inWon+$27.11747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid+20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under73c96.01$70 inWon+$26.331,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18c2…529abacked Over49c35.51$17 inLost-$17.4520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under73c30.23$22 inWon+$8.1630957%176 W · 133 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under51c24$12 inWon+$11.83,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Under68c14.71$10 inWon+$4.714163.4%26 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.