Fifa International · resolved market
IR Iran leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe97b0d87b23b7b9dd7d3e8c867e17c6d2939edc8c93e1652cbd7dfd32d580510
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,482
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,510
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,482 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaf48…36c2backed No | 80c | 13,588$10,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,717.6 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 21c | 8,794$1,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,836 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 17c | 5,454$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.48 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 21c | 3,959$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.39 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 21c | 2,199$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.38 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 13c | 1,861$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.31 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Yes | 2c | 1,807$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.15 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 79c | 1,414$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.63 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 79c | 1,279$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.29 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 4c | 1,059$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.37 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 79c | 945.07$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.84 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 8c | 847.18$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.57 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d36…8f64backed Yes | 13c | 740$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc41…6b74backed Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -43%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 6c | 520$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed No | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 80c | 472.95$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.59 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8aa…e4d1backed Yes | 22c | 454.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 251 | 50.6%127 W · 124 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 23c | 347$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.37 | 222 | 26.6%59 W · 163 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x640b…d920backed Yes | 18c | 269.54$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.65 | 190 | 27.9%53 W · 137 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x751f…e4ddbacked Yes | 18c | 261.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.69 | 879 | 38.6%339 W · 540 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 21c | 259.34$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.46 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 14c | 209.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 79c | 200.63$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.13 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 21c | 165.32$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.12 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 80c | 157.6$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.98 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 79c | 142.65$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.96 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed No | 79c | 127.24$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.72 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671d…c1c6backed Yes | 17c | 122.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed No | 79c | 118.84$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.95 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9516…0bcbbacked Yes | 20c | 100.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 562 | 40.6%228 W · 334 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08b3…48a9backed Yes | 22c | 95.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x262c…5f00backed Yes | 20c | 89.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 79c | 53.86$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 80c | 51$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dad…475dbacked No | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8255…cba9backed No | 79c | 31.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 462 | 43.5%201 W · 261 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…3b32backed No | 79c | 25.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…14b3backed No | 80c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 282 | 57.1%161 W · 121 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34ea…3955backed No | 80c | 20.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad6…eed6backed No | 79c | 19.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.13 | 229 | 57.6%132 W · 97 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2176…bc30backed No | 79c | 18.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.87 | 276 | 63%174 W · 102 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 79c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 888 | 52.7%468 W · 420 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f04…2392backed No | 79c | 17.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 238 | 66.8%159 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked No | 79c | 17.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.67 | 785 | 59.7%469 W · 316 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa600…2fcebacked No | 79c | 13.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.74 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- IR Iran leading at halftime?this page
- Egypt leading at halftime?No won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: Draw at halftime?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.