Fifa International · resolved market
England vs. Uruguay: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b4fc1cdf6964b97b32444ecab37c4faeceae4302a3531f6c5a6b8ec2cd0fe93
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,714
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,726
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,714 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 74c | 5,403$4,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,402.71 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Over | 29c | 5,185$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,503.56 | 297 | 40.1%119 W · 178 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 71c | 4,263$3,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.9 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 206 | 26.2%54 W · 152 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 75 | 30.7%23 W · 52 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 25c | 832.76$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.86 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 26c | 799.32$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.7 | 98 | 29.6%29 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d7…715dbacked Over | 25c | 789.77$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 25c | 753.16$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.29 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 25c | 745.09$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.18 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 4c | 686.52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Under | 74c | 608.11$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.11 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8519…f4e1backed Over | 31c | 516.13$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 78c | 437.06$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.13 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 74c | 436.28$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.92 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 26c | 399.02$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.71 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf934…555ebacked Under | 76c | 394.07$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.58 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 20c | 367.06$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.47 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 454 | 21.4%97 W · 357 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce27…8a7dbacked Over | 25c | 240.15$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9691…c6e7backed Over | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e85…788bbacked Over | 29c | 169.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.29 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a67…af26backed Under | 71c | 109.86$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.86 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Under | 71c | 100.42$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…6e9dbacked Under | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 76c | 69.29$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 255 | 54.5%139 W · 116 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 76c | 69.29$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 451 | 20.6%93 W · 358 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 26c | 51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 26c | 50.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 72c | 46.89$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed Under | 72c | 46.09$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Under | 76c | 44.68$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2502…87e5backed Under | 75c | 42.84$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 75c | 41.97$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Under | 76c | 41.28$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 363 | 29.8%108 W · 255 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed Under | 72c | 37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 46 | 78.3%36 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 74cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa43a…8b10backed Under | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 78c | 29.17$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 341 | 44.3%151 W · 190 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Under | 76c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 76c | 20.95$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa478…2779backed Under | 76c | 18.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91ff…edfdbacked Under | 71c | 16.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.77 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 71c | 14.55$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 101 | 53.5%54 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 73c | 14.24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 436 | 53.7%234 W · 202 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- England vs. Uruguay: O/U 3.5this page
- England vs. Uruguay: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- England vs. Uruguay: O/U 1.5Over won
- England vs. Uruguay: O/U 2.5Under won
- England vs. Uruguay: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: England (-1.5)Uruguay won
- Spread: England (-2.5)Uruguay won
- Spread: Uruguay (-1.5)England won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.