Premier League · resolved market
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-04-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f67e7975b5a6f8aede79ae67cb89e06486aa67d715122e1ce3fe73d172ec580
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,323
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,229
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,323 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Yes | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Yes | 34c | 4,407$1,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,518.54 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 64c | 2,490$1,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.4 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 57c | 2,353$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.47 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a8…4673backed Yes | 60c | 1,670$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 54c | 1,594$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.89 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed No | 66c | 1,212$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.12 | 120 | 53.3%64 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 41c | 1,208$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.86 | 270 | 24.8%67 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 36c | 1,123$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.38 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed Yes | 40c | 1,100$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4634…9222backed Yes | 36c | 1,100$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7a…ef68backed No | 64c | 1,100$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Yes | 34c | 1,002$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.53 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47ba…4830backed Yes | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 41c | 999.99$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.99 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 39c | 741.9$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.56 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 64c | 722.28$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.02 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked No | 63c | 658$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.88 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 58c | 647.29$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.86 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.95 | 277 | 52%144 W · 133 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Yes | 27c | 499.98$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.99 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…072dbacked No | 64c | 437.5$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +8.0wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc451…d78cbacked No | 63c | 435$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5444…bbdabacked Yes | 60c | 434.6$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 59cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked No | 64c | 350$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba21…0926backed No | 63c | 315$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…3d95backed Yes | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24cb…94dcbacked No | 63c | 250$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3171…0e8abacked Yes | 60c | 232.88$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.73 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked No | 64c | 188$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.34 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ab…6047backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f7…9fd9backed Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked No | 62c | 121.05$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…cd12backed No | 64c | 119.8$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.13 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes | 63c | 119.34$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 39c | 118.5$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.72 | 256 | 37.9%97 W · 159 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes | 37c | 106.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 47c | 102.73$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.66 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 59c | 101.03$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.37 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf088…4942backed Yes | 38c | 90.79$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 34c | 89.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 157 | 26.8%42 W · 115 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75b1…e2e8backed Yes | 62c | 86.4$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.57 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82c1…0217backed Yes | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes | 54c | 55.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x514b…ad6abacked Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed No | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd242…ba4ebacked Yes | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 65c | 49.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed No | 67c | 47.88$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b0…69e9backed Yes | 37c | 40.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 36c | 33.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd00a…7400backed Yes | 59c | 33.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…375abacked Yes | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed No | 55c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed No | 65c | 21.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38f9…da6bbacked Yes | 60c | 19.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bournemouth win on 2025-04-19?this page
- Will Crystal Palace vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-04-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.